Duke Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DUKB Stock | USD 24.68 0.02 0.08% |
Duke Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Duke Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Duke Energy Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Duke Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Duke Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Duke Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duke Energy Corp from the perspective of Duke Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Duke Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.93. Duke Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 24.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duke Energy to cross-verify your projections. Duke Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Duke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Duke Energy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Duke Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Duke Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Duke Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Duke Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Duke Energy | Duke Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Duke Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Duke Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Duke Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.34 and 25.01, respectively. We have considered Duke Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Duke Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Duke Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5855 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0808 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0033 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.9294 |
Predictive Modules for Duke Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duke Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duke Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Duke Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duke Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Duke Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Duke Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Duke Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duke Energy's historical news coverage. Duke Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.34 and 25.02, respectively. We have considered Duke Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Duke Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duke Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Duke Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duke Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duke Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duke Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.68 | 24.68 | 0.00 |
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Duke Energy Hype Timeline
Duke Energy Corp is currently traded for 24.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Duke is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Duke Energy is about 319.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.68. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duke Energy to cross-verify your projections.Duke Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Duke Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duke Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Duke Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duke Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AQNB | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.51 | (0.32) | 1.52 | |
| OKLO | Oklo Inc | (4.63) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.70 | (9.06) | 30.72 | |
| SO | Southern Company | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.98 | (0.05) | 1.54 | (1.81) | 4.07 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | 0.67 | 10 per month | 0.86 | 0.04 | 1.74 | (1.29) | 4.29 | |
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | 2.71 | 11 per month | 2.22 | 0.15 | 6.12 | (3.82) | 19.98 | |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.23 | 11 per month | 0.96 | (0.01) | 1.58 | (1.38) | 4.28 | |
| EIX | Edison International | 0.72 | 11 per month | 1.34 | 0.17 | 2.44 | (1.96) | 6.29 | |
| FRMI | Fermi Inc | (0.44) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 11.11 | (13.43) | 45.88 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.40) | 9 per month | 1.03 | (0.05) | 1.31 | (1.37) | 4.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Duke Energy
For every potential investor in Duke, whether a beginner or expert, Duke Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Duke Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Duke. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Duke Energy's price trends.Duke Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Duke Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Duke Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Duke Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Duke Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Duke Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Duke Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Duke Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Duke Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Duke Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Duke Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Duke Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting duke stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2851 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.291 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3553 | |||
| Variance | 0.1262 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1249 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0847 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Duke Energy
The number of cover stories for Duke Energy depends on current market conditions and Duke Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duke Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duke Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Duke Energy Short Properties
Duke Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Duke Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duke Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duke Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duke Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 777 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 245 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duke Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Duke Stock refer to our How to Trade Duke Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duke Energy. Projected growth potential of Duke fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Duke Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Duke Energy Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Duke Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Duke Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Duke Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Duke Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Duke Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.