Brinker International Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| EAT Stock | USD 162.44 1.54 0.96% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Brinker International on the next trading day is expected to be 168.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 432.58. Brinker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength indicator of Brinker International's stock price is slightly above 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brinker, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.583 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.7026 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.4181 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.0309 | Wall Street Target Price 179.0526 |
Using Brinker International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brinker International from the perspective of Brinker International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brinker International using Brinker International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brinker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brinker International's stock price.
Brinker International Short Interest
An investor who is long Brinker International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brinker International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brinker International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 148.6727 | Short Percent 0.1401 | Short Ratio 3.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.7 M | 50 Day MA 143.2524 |
Brinker International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Brinker International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brinker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brinker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brinker International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Brinker International Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Brinker International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brinker International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brinker International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brinker International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brinker International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Brinker International on the next trading day is expected to be 168.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 432.58. Brinker International after-hype prediction price | USD 162.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brinker International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brinker contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brinker International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Brinker International trading at USD 162.44, that is roughly USD 0.0558 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brinker International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brinker International options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Brinker Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Brinker International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Brinker International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Brinker International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Brinker International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Brinker International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Brinker International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Brinker. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Brinker International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brinker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brinker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brinker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brinker International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Brinker International on the next trading day is expected to be 168.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.98, mean absolute percentage error of 81.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 432.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brinker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brinker International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brinker International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brinker International | Brinker International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Brinker International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brinker International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brinker International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 165.67 and 171.92, respectively. We have considered Brinker International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brinker International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brinker International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.3496 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.9771 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0537 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 432.5814 |
Predictive Modules for Brinker International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brinker International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brinker International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brinker International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brinker International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brinker International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brinker International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brinker International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brinker International's historical news coverage. Brinker International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 159.34 and 165.54, respectively. We have considered Brinker International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brinker International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brinker International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brinker International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brinker International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brinker International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brinker International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 3.12 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 3 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
162.44 | 162.44 | 0.00 |
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Brinker International Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Brinker International is traded for 162.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Brinker is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brinker International is about 1392.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 162.33. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.11. Brinker International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2020. The firm had 3:2 split on the 1st of December 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brinker International to cross-verify your projections.Brinker International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brinker International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brinker International's future price movements. Getting to know how Brinker International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brinker International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTH | Meritage | (2.49) | 10 per month | 1.72 | 0.01 | 3.46 | (2.68) | 13.06 | |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | (0.26) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.59 | (3.21) | 17.54 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | 0.39 | 12 per month | 1.58 | (0.03) | 3.65 | (2.56) | 8.25 | |
| FTDR | Frontdoor | (2.08) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.10 | (2.86) | 18.24 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | 0.39 | 14 per month | 1.60 | 0.08 | 3.13 | (2.43) | 22.04 | |
| KBH | KB Home | 0.39 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.30 | (2.48) | 15.09 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 0.25 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.60 | (2.48) | 8.95 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | 0.39 | 11 per month | 1.91 | 0.01 | 4.35 | (3.41) | 10.13 | |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp | 0.39 | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.08 | 3.42 | (1.96) | 6.55 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | 0.39 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.63 | (2.26) | 12.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brinker International
For every potential investor in Brinker, whether a beginner or expert, Brinker International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brinker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brinker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brinker International's price trends.Brinker International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brinker International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brinker International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brinker International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brinker International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brinker International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brinker International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brinker International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brinker International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 33380.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2836 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 164.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 163.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.22) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.54 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.16 |
Brinker International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brinker International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brinker International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brinker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Variance | 9.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brinker International
The number of cover stories for Brinker International depends on current market conditions and Brinker International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brinker International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brinker International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brinker International Short Properties
Brinker International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brinker International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brinker International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brinker International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brinker International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.9 M |
Additional Tools for Brinker Stock Analysis
When running Brinker International's price analysis, check to measure Brinker International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brinker International is operating at the current time. Most of Brinker International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brinker International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brinker International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brinker International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.