Brinker International Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EAT Stock  USD 143.52  0.74  0.52%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Brinker International on the next trading day is expected to be 148.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 586.95. Brinker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Brinker International's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Brinker International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brinker International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brinker International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.583
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.7026
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.3231
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.9154
Wall Street Target Price
166.1177
Using Brinker International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brinker International from the perspective of Brinker International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brinker International using Brinker International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brinker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brinker International's stock price.

Brinker International Short Interest

An investor who is long Brinker International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brinker International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brinker International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
147.9203
Short Percent
0.1518
Short Ratio
2.99
Shares Short Prior Month
5.8 M
50 Day MA
132.0344

Brinker International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Brinker International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brinker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brinker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brinker International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brinker International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brinker International.

Brinker International Implied Volatility

    
  0.62  
Brinker International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brinker International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brinker International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brinker International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brinker International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Brinker International on the next trading day is expected to be 148.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 586.95.

Brinker International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 143.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brinker International to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Brinker Stock please use our How to Invest in Brinker International guide.At this time, Brinker International's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 77.19 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 16.91 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 462.6 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 39.4 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Brinker Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Brinker International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Brinker International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Brinker International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Brinker International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Brinker International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Brinker International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Brinker. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Brinker International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brinker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brinker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brinker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Brinker International price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Brinker International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Brinker International on the next trading day is expected to be 148.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.62, mean absolute percentage error of 136.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 586.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brinker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brinker International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brinker International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Brinker InternationalBrinker International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Brinker International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Brinker International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brinker International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 145.54 and 151.51, respectively. We have considered Brinker International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
143.52
145.54
Downside
148.53
Expected Value
151.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brinker International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brinker International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.024
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.6221
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0785
SAESum of the absolute errors586.9479
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Brinker International historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Brinker International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brinker International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
140.56143.52146.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.82135.78157.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
136.96145.59154.23
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
151.17166.12184.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brinker International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brinker International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brinker International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brinker International.

Other Forecasting Options for Brinker International

For every potential investor in Brinker, whether a beginner or expert, Brinker International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brinker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brinker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brinker International's price trends.

Brinker International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brinker International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brinker International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brinker International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brinker International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Brinker International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Brinker International's current price.

Brinker International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brinker International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brinker International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brinker International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brinker International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Brinker International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Brinker International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brinker International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brinker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Brinker Stock Analysis

When running Brinker International's price analysis, check to measure Brinker International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brinker International is operating at the current time. Most of Brinker International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brinker International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brinker International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brinker International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.