ECD Automotive Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ECDA Stock | 0.01 0 8.33% |
ECD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ECD Automotive stock prices and determine the direction of ECD Automotive Design's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ECD Automotive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of ECD Automotive's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 15
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (20.00) | Wall Street Target Price 1000 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
Using ECD Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ECD Automotive Design from the perspective of ECD Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
ECD Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ECD Automotive Design on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.46.ECD Automotive Design Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ECD Automotive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ECD. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ECD can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ECD Automotive Design. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ECD Automotive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ECD Automotive.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ECD Automotive Design on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.46. ECD Automotive after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0114 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ECD Automotive to cross-verify your projections. ECD Automotive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ECD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ECD using various technical indicators. When you analyze ECD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ECD Automotive Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ECD Automotive Design on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ECD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ECD Automotive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ECD Automotive Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ECD Automotive | ECD Automotive Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ECD Automotive Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ECD Automotive's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ECD Automotive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 17.56, respectively. We have considered ECD Automotive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ECD Automotive stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ECD Automotive stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.04 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2056 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.291 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3564 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.459 |
Predictive Modules for ECD Automotive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECD Automotive Design. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECD Automotive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ECD Automotive After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ECD Automotive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ECD Automotive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ECD Automotive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ECD Automotive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ECD Automotive's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ECD Automotive's historical news coverage. ECD Automotive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 17.41, respectively. We have considered ECD Automotive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ECD Automotive is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ECD Automotive Design is based on 3 months time horizon.
ECD Automotive Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ECD Automotive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ECD Automotive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ECD Automotive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
7.15 | 17.55 | 0.79 | 1.69 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 12.22 |
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ECD Automotive Hype Timeline
ECD Automotive Design is currently traded for 0.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.79, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.69. ECD is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.0114. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -12.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -7.15%. The volatility of related hype on ECD Automotive is about 7405.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.70. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 40.3. ECD Automotive Design had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 26th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ECD Automotive to cross-verify your projections.ECD Automotive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ECD Automotive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ECD Automotive's future price movements. Getting to know how ECD Automotive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ECD Automotive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTEL | Fitell Ordinary | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 11.80 | (20.76) | 69.40 | |
| JFBR | Jeffs Brands | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 13.75 | (17.50) | 166.56 | |
| WBUY | WEBUY GLOBAL LTD | 2.05 | 4 per month | 9.57 | 0.01 | 22.73 | (11.74) | 153.14 | |
| FFAIW | Faraday Future Intelligent | (0.0001) | 10 per month | 12.49 | 0.02 | 23.33 | (17.07) | 103.65 | |
| NVVE | Nuvve Holding Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 11.90 | 0.01 | 34.19 | (20.38) | 250.51 | |
| JXG | JX Luxventure Limited | 0.30 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 17.46 | (14.72) | 90.68 | |
| JWEL | Jowell Global | (0.05) | 6 per month | 4.35 | 0.08 | 10.14 | (6.79) | 41.90 | |
| IVP | Inspire Veterinary Partners | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 19.05 | (43.59) | 357,210 | |
| EVTV | Envirotech Vehicles | 0.04 | 9 per month | 8.79 | 0.10 | 35.05 | (17.45) | 471.75 | |
| EJH | E Home Household Service | (0.04) | 10 per month | 5.04 | (0) | 9.89 | (7.07) | 33.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for ECD Automotive
For every potential investor in ECD, whether a beginner or expert, ECD Automotive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ECD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ECD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ECD Automotive's price trends.ECD Automotive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ECD Automotive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ECD Automotive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ECD Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ECD Automotive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ECD Automotive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ECD Automotive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ECD Automotive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ECD Automotive Design entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ECD Automotive Risk Indicators
The analysis of ECD Automotive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ECD Automotive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ecd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 16.86 | |||
| Variance | 284.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ECD Automotive
The number of cover stories for ECD Automotive depends on current market conditions and ECD Automotive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ECD Automotive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ECD Automotive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ECD Automotive Short Properties
ECD Automotive's future price predictability will typically decrease when ECD Automotive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ECD Automotive Design often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ECD Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECD Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 167.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ECD Automotive to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ECD Automotive. If investors know ECD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ECD Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of ECD Automotive Design is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ECD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ECD Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ECD Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ECD Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ECD Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ECD Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ECD Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ECD Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.