Enterprise Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EFSC Stock  USD 56.03  1.67  3.07%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enterprise Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 55.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.09. Enterprise Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Enterprise Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Enterprise Financial Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enterprise Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Enterprise Financial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Enterprise Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Enterprise Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Enterprise Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.1)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.416
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.244
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.5
Wall Street Target Price
64.75
Using Enterprise Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enterprise Financial Services from the perspective of Enterprise Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Enterprise Financial using Enterprise Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Enterprise using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Enterprise Financial's stock price.

Enterprise Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Enterprise Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Enterprise. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Enterprise Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
55.1061
Short Percent
0.0182
Short Ratio
3.69
Shares Short Prior Month
575.6 K
50 Day MA
54.5104

Enterprise Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Enterprise Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Enterprise. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Enterprise can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Enterprise Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Enterprise Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Enterprise Financial.

Enterprise Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.79  
Enterprise Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enterprise Financial Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enterprise Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Enterprise Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Enterprise Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enterprise Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 55.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.09.

Enterprise Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 56.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enterprise Financial to cross-verify your projections.
The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 17.10, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 17.99. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 45.4 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 240.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Enterprise Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Enterprise Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Enterprise Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Enterprise Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Enterprise Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Enterprise Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Enterprise Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Enterprise. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Enterprise Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Enterprise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enterprise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enterprise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Enterprise Financial simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Enterprise Financial Services are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Enterprise Financial prices get older.

Enterprise Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enterprise Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 55.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enterprise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enterprise Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enterprise Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Enterprise FinancialEnterprise Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Enterprise Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enterprise Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enterprise Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.12 and 57.44, respectively. We have considered Enterprise Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
56.03
55.78
Expected Value
57.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enterprise Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enterprise Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.049
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.6348
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors38.0902
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Enterprise Financial Services forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Enterprise Financial observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Enterprise Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enterprise Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enterprise Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.3756.0357.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.4360.0561.71
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.9264.7571.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.271.281.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Enterprise Financial

For every potential investor in Enterprise, whether a beginner or expert, Enterprise Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enterprise Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enterprise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enterprise Financial's price trends.

Enterprise Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enterprise Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enterprise Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enterprise Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enterprise Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Enterprise Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Enterprise Financial's current price.

Enterprise Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enterprise Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enterprise Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enterprise Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enterprise Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enterprise Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enterprise Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enterprise Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enterprise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Enterprise Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Enterprise Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Enterprise Financial Services Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Enterprise Financial Services Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enterprise Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enterprise Financial. If investors know Enterprise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enterprise Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.1)
Dividend Share
1.18
Earnings Share
5.13
Revenue Per Share
17.47
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.058
The market value of Enterprise Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enterprise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enterprise Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enterprise Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enterprise Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enterprise Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enterprise Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enterprise Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enterprise Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.