Enterprise Financial Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| EFSC Stock | USD 59.56 0.08 0.13% |
20 Period Moving Average is applied to Enterprise Financial Services's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Enterprise Financial at 58.40 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This 20 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Enterprise Financial at 58.40 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and sum of absolute errors of 84.02 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Enterprise Financial's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enterprise Financial | Enterprise Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for Enterprise Financial reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The current forecast range spans downside near 56.87 and upside near 59.93. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Enterprise Financial stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 83.1727 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4722 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0493 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0365 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 84.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enterprise Financial
The distribution of Enterprise Financial's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This reveals hidden support and resistance zones in Enterprise Financial's chart that simple price charts miss.Enterprise Financial Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Financials space frame Enterprise Financial's pricing and running costs in context. Profit comparisons show whether Enterprise Financial earns above or below average returns next to its peers. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to Enterprise Financial often signals structural advantages or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enterprise Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Enterprise Financial stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Enterprise Financial.
Enterprise Financial Risk Indicators
Assessing Enterprise Financial's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for enterprise stock. The level of risk embedded in Enterprise Financial's feeds directly into exposure calibration.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Enterprise Financial Short Properties
Short-interest data for Enterprise Financial reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.29 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 213.87 million |