Ehang Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EH Stock  USD 14.06  0.77  5.79%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ehang Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.47. Ehang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ehang Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Ehang Holdings' Payables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Ehang Holdings' current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.56, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.67. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 56 M. The Ehang Holdings' current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (280.6 M).
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Ehang Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Ehang Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ehang Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43, mean absolute percentage error of 3.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ehang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ehang Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ehang Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ehang Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ehang Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ehang Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.08 and 24.13, respectively. We have considered Ehang Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.06
17.61
Expected Value
24.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ehang Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ehang Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.129
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4269
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0955
SAESum of the absolute errors88.4675
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Ehang Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Ehang Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ehang Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6314.1520.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3417.8624.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.1916.8119.43
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.7630.5033.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ehang Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ehang Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ehang Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ehang Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Ehang Holdings

For every potential investor in Ehang, whether a beginner or expert, Ehang Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ehang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ehang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ehang Holdings' price trends.

Ehang Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ehang Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ehang Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ehang Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ehang Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ehang Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ehang Holdings' current price.

Ehang Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ehang Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ehang Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ehang Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ehang Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ehang Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ehang Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ehang Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ehang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ehang Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Ehang Stock please use our How to Invest in Ehang Holdings guide.
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Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ehang Holdings. If investors know Ehang will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ehang Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.54)
Revenue Per Share
3.923
Quarterly Revenue Growth
9.196
Return On Assets
(0.21)
Return On Equity
(0.71)
The market value of Ehang Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ehang that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ehang Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ehang Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ehang Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ehang Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ehang Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ehang Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ehang Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.