Ehang Holdings Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

EH Stock  USD 15.55  0.42  2.78%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ehang Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.17. Ehang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ehang Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Ehang Holdings' current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.28, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.77. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 56 M. The Ehang Holdings' current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (280.6 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Ehang Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ehang Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ehang Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ehang Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ehang Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Ehang Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ehang Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ehang. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triple exponential smoothing for Ehang Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Ehang Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Ehang Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Ehang Holdings.

Ehang Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ehang Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ehang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ehang Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ehang Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ehang Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ehang Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ehang Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.10 and 20.20, respectively. We have considered Ehang Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.55
15.65
Expected Value
20.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ehang Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ehang Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1651
MADMean absolute deviation0.5452
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0348
SAESum of the absolute errors32.1653
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Ehang Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Ehang Holdings observations.

Predictive Modules for Ehang Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ehang Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0615.6120.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1418.6923.24
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.9824.1526.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ehang Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ehang Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ehang Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ehang Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Ehang Holdings

For every potential investor in Ehang, whether a beginner or expert, Ehang Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ehang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ehang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ehang Holdings' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ehang Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ehang Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ehang Holdings' current price.

Ehang Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ehang Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ehang Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ehang Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ehang Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ehang Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ehang Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ehang Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ehang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ehang Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Ehang Stock please use our How to Invest in Ehang Holdings guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ehang Holdings. If investors know Ehang will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ehang Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.54)
Revenue Per Share
3.923
Quarterly Revenue Growth
9.196
Return On Assets
(0.21)
Return On Equity
(0.71)
The market value of Ehang Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ehang that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ehang Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ehang Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ehang Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ehang Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ehang Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ehang Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ehang Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.