Companhia Paranaense Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ELPC Stock | 10.06 0.40 4.14% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Companhia Paranaense de on the next trading day is expected to be 9.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.91. Companhia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Companhia Paranaense stock prices and determine the direction of Companhia Paranaense de's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Companhia Paranaense's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Companhia Paranaense's share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Companhia Paranaense, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Wall Street Target Price 11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.188 |
Using Companhia Paranaense hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Paranaense de from the perspective of Companhia Paranaense response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Companhia Paranaense de on the next trading day is expected to be 9.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.91. Companhia Paranaense after-hype prediction price | USD 10.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Companhia Paranaense Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Companhia Paranaense Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Companhia Paranaense de on the next trading day is expected to be 9.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Companhia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Companhia Paranaense's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Companhia Paranaense Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Companhia Paranaense | Companhia Paranaense Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Companhia Paranaense Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Companhia Paranaense's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Companhia Paranaense's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.19 and 12.12, respectively. We have considered Companhia Paranaense's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Companhia Paranaense stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Companhia Paranaense stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0019 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2772 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0304 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.9068 |
Predictive Modules for Companhia Paranaense
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Paranaense. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Companhia Paranaense After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Companhia Paranaense at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Companhia Paranaense or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Companhia Paranaense, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Companhia Paranaense Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Companhia Paranaense's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Companhia Paranaense's historical news coverage. Companhia Paranaense's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.10 and 13.02, respectively. We have considered Companhia Paranaense's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Companhia Paranaense is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Companhia Paranaense is based on 3 months time horizon.
Companhia Paranaense Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Companhia Paranaense is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Companhia Paranaense backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Companhia Paranaense, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.96 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.06 | 10.06 | 0.00 |
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Companhia Paranaense Hype Timeline
Companhia Paranaense is currently traded for 10.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Companhia is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Companhia Paranaense is about 1151.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.12. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.42. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Companhia Paranaense last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Paranaense to cross-verify your projections.Companhia Paranaense Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Companhia Paranaense's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Companhia Paranaense's future price movements. Getting to know how Companhia Paranaense's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Companhia Paranaense may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.92 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.19 | (1.29) | 4.27 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | (0.59) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.09 | (1.31) | 4.29 | |
| EIX | Edison International | 1.39 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.02 | 1.97 | (1.80) | 6.38 | |
| FRMI | Fermi Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 12.05 | (13.43) | 59.14 | |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.17 | (2.28) | 6.22 | |
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | (0.04) | 8 per month | 2.18 | 0.16 | 6.12 | (3.58) | 11.12 | |
| EMA | Emera Incorporated | 0.70 | 11 per month | 0.77 | (0.09) | 1.35 | (1.21) | 4.23 | |
| OKLO | Oklo Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.42 | (11.40) | 30.72 | |
| AQNB | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.06 | (0.21) | 0.51 | (0.39) | 1.39 | |
| NI | NiSource | 0.17 | 9 per month | 1.00 | (0.08) | 1.44 | (1.62) | 4.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Companhia Paranaense
For every potential investor in Companhia, whether a beginner or expert, Companhia Paranaense's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Companhia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Companhia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Companhia Paranaense's price trends.Companhia Paranaense Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Companhia Paranaense stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Companhia Paranaense could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Companhia Paranaense by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Companhia Paranaense Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Companhia Paranaense stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Companhia Paranaense shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Companhia Paranaense stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Companhia Paranaense de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Companhia Paranaense Risk Indicators
The analysis of Companhia Paranaense's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Companhia Paranaense's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting companhia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Variance | 8.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Companhia Paranaense
The number of cover stories for Companhia Paranaense depends on current market conditions and Companhia Paranaense's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Companhia Paranaense is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Companhia Paranaense's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Companhia Paranaense Short Properties
Companhia Paranaense's future price predictability will typically decrease when Companhia Paranaense's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Companhia Paranaense de often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Companhia Paranaense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Paranaense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Paranaense to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Companhia Paranaense. If investors know Companhia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Companhia Paranaense listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Dividend Share 0.742 | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.188 |
The market value of Companhia Paranaense is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Companhia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Companhia Paranaense's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Companhia Paranaense's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Companhia Paranaense's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Companhia Paranaense's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Companhia Paranaense's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Companhia Paranaense is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Companhia Paranaense's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.