Equity Bancshares Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| EQBK Stock | USD 46.69 0.77 1.62% |
Equity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Equity Bancshares' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Equity Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Equity Bancshares from the perspective of Equity Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Equity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 47.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.80. Equity Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 46.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Equity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. Equity Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Equity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Equity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Equity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Equity Bancshares Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Equity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 47.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Equity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Equity Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Equity Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Equity Bancshares | Equity Bancshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Equity Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Equity Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Equity Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.30 and 48.85, respectively. We have considered Equity Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Equity Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Equity Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.18 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1343 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6067 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0133 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.795 |
Predictive Modules for Equity Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Equity Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Equity Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Equity Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Equity Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Equity Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Equity Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Equity Bancshares' historical news coverage. Equity Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.87 and 48.41, respectively. We have considered Equity Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Equity Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equity Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Equity Bancshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Equity Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Equity Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Equity Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
46.69 | 46.64 | 0.09 |
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Equity Bancshares Hype Timeline
Equity Bancshares is currently traded for 46.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Equity is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 46.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Equity Bancshares is about 871.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.73. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 314.26 M. Net Income was 62.62 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 199.74 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Equity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.Equity Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Equity Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Equity Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Equity Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Equity Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial | 1.46 | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.12 | 2.86 | (2.04) | 9.76 | |
| CFFN | Capitol Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.14 | 3.01 | (1.64) | 8.36 | |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | 1.30 | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.11 | 2.72 | (1.57) | 8.85 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.12 | 4.71 | (2.14) | 12.71 | |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | (0.40) | 15 per month | 1.18 | 0.14 | 3.03 | (2.28) | 13.04 | |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services | 0.62 | 9 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.79 | (1.70) | 9.13 | |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.09 | 3.59 | (2.10) | 10.06 | |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial | (1.14) | 19 per month | 2.40 | (0.01) | 3.23 | (1.92) | 18.20 | |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.07 | 4.24 | (2.63) | 8.48 | |
| NBN | Northeast Bancorp | 0.13 | 26 per month | 1.64 | 0.20 | 4.10 | (3.68) | 13.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Equity Bancshares
For every potential investor in Equity, whether a beginner or expert, Equity Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Equity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Equity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Equity Bancshares' price trends.Equity Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Equity Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Equity Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Equity Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Equity Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Equity Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Equity Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Equity Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Equity Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4111.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.48) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 47.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 46.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.73) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.77) |
Equity Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Equity Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Equity Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting equity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Equity Bancshares
The number of cover stories for Equity Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Equity Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Equity Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Equity Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Equity Bancshares Short Properties
Equity Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Equity Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Equity Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Equity Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Equity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Equity Stock please use our How to buy in Equity Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equity Bancshares. Projected growth potential of Equity fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Equity Bancshares assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Equity Bancshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Equity's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Equity Bancshares' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Equity Bancshares' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Equity Bancshares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Equity Bancshares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Equity Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.