First Bancshares Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

First Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for First Bancshares is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of The First Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

First Bancshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The First Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 33.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.43.

First Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest First Bancshares

First Bancshares Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of The First Bancshares. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict First Bancshares. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for First Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 33.81 33.81 33.81 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 29.58 29.58 37.19 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 32.81 34.53 36.25 Details

First Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis

First Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Bancshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

First Bancshares Hype Timeline

First Bancshares is currently traded for 33.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Bancshares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.81. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 10th of February 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of March 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

First Bancshares Related Hype Analysis

First Bancshares Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

First Bancshares Market Strength Events

First Bancshares Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for First Bancshares

First Bancshares Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in First Stock