First Bancshares, Stock Forward View

FBMSDelisted Stock  USD 33.81  0.66  1.99%   
First Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of First Bancshares,'s share price is below 30 at this time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling The First Bancshares, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 27

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Bancshares,'s future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Bancshares, and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Bancshares,'s fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The First Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Bancshares, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The First Bancshares from the perspective of First Bancshares, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The First Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 33.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.43.

First Bancshares, after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

First Bancshares, Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for First Bancshares, is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of The First Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

First Bancshares, Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The First Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 33.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Bancshares,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Bancshares, Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest First Bancshares,  First Bancshares, Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Bancshares, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Bancshares, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9527
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4497
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors27.4299
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of The First Bancshares. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict First Bancshares,. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for First Bancshares,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Bancshares,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.8133.8133.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.5829.5837.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.8734.8049.74
Details

First Bancshares, After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Bancshares, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Bancshares, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Bancshares,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Bancshares, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Bancshares,'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Bancshares,'s historical news coverage. First Bancshares,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.81 and 33.81, respectively. We have considered First Bancshares,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.81
33.81
After-hype Price
33.81
Upside
First Bancshares, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Bancshares, is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Bancshares, Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Bancshares, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Bancshares, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Bancshares,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.81
33.81
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Bancshares, Hype Timeline

First Bancshares, is currently traded for 33.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Bancshares, is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.81. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Bancshares, last dividend was issued on the 10th of February 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of March 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

First Bancshares, Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Bancshares,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Bancshares,'s future price movements. Getting to know how First Bancshares,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Bancshares, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

First Bancshares, Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Bancshares, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Bancshares, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Bancshares, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Bancshares, Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Bancshares, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Bancshares, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Bancshares, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The First Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for First Bancshares,

The number of cover stories for First Bancshares, depends on current market conditions and First Bancshares,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Bancshares, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Bancshares,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Bancshares, Short Properties

First Bancshares,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when First Bancshares,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The First Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Bancshares,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Bancshares,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments116.5 M
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Other Consideration for investing in First Stock

If you are still planning to invest in First Bancshares, check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Bancshares,'s history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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