Origin Bancorp Stock Price Patterns
| OBK Stock | 43.74 0.20 0.46% |
Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.106 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.878 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.828 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.17 | Wall Street Target Price 48.2 |
Using Origin Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Origin Bancorp from the perspective of Origin Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Origin Bancorp using Origin Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Origin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Origin Bancorp's stock price.
Origin Bancorp Short Interest
An investor who is long Origin Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Origin Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Origin Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 36.7247 | Short Percent 0.0099 | Short Ratio 1.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 311.3 K | 50 Day MA 40.3658 |
Origin Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Origin Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Origin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Origin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Origin Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Origin Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Origin Bancorp.
Origin Bancorp Implied Volatility | 1.02 |
Origin Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Origin Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Origin Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Origin Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Origin Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Origin Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Origin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Origin Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 44.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Origin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Origin Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0638% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Origin Bancorp trading at USD 43.74, that is roughly USD 0.0279 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Origin Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Origin Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 1.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Origin Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Origin Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Origin Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Origin Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Origin Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Origin Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Origin Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Origin Bancorp's historical news coverage. Origin Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.70 and 45.74, respectively. We have considered Origin Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Origin Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Origin Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Origin Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Origin Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Origin Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 1.52 | 0.48 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.74 | 44.22 | 1.10 |
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Origin Bancorp Hype Timeline
On the 15th of February 2026 Origin Bancorp is traded for 43.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Origin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 143.4%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 1.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Origin Bancorp is about 2666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.77. The company reported the last year's revenue of 598.6 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 76.49 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 344.54 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Origin Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Origin Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Origin Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Origin Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Origin Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Origin Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp | (1.06) | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.05 | 3.59 | (2.21) | 11.43 | |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp | (0.40) | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.13 | 2.92 | (1.84) | 7.90 | |
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp | 1.95 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.06 | 3.24 | (2.10) | 9.56 | |
| BFC | Bank First National | 1.97 | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.11 | 3.40 | (1.90) | 7.54 | |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares | (0.16) | 8 per month | 1.09 | 0.20 | 3.94 | (2.14) | 11.73 | |
| TMP | Tompkins Financial | (0.31) | 9 per month | 1.19 | 0.15 | 3.68 | (2.17) | 10.36 | |
| OSBC | Old Second Bancorp | (0.05) | 26 per month | 1.51 | 0.07 | 3.09 | (2.23) | 11.79 | |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | 0.20 | 7 per month | 2.28 | (0.03) | 2.53 | (2.09) | 12.44 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 3.60 | (2.14) | 10.00 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | (1.56) | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.12 | 3.42 | (2.12) | 10.21 |
Origin Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Origin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Origin Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Origin Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Origin Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Bancorp based on analysis of Origin Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Origin Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Origin Bancorp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0169 | 0.0181 | 0.016 | 0.00992 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.9 | 1.68 | 1.93 | 3.18 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Origin Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of Origin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Origin Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.106 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 2.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
Origin Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Origin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Origin Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.