FG Annuities Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FG Stock | USD 29.49 0.09 0.31% |
FG Annuities Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FG Annuities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of FG Annuities' share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FG Annuities, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FG Annuities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FG Annuities Life from the perspective of FG Annuities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FG Annuities Life on the next trading day is expected to be 29.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.12. FG Annuities after-hype prediction price | USD 29.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FG Annuities | Build AI portfolio with FG Annuities Stock |
FG Annuities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FG Annuities price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FG Annuities using various technical indicators. When you analyze FG Annuities charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FG Annuities Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FG Annuities Life on the next trading day is expected to be 29.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FG Annuities Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FG Annuities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FG Annuities Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FG Annuities | FG Annuities Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FG Annuities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FG Annuities' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FG Annuities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.31 and 31.67, respectively. We have considered FG Annuities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FG Annuities stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FG Annuities stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4811 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0013 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5353 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0174 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.12 |
Predictive Modules for FG Annuities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FG Annuities Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FG Annuities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FG Annuities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FG Annuities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FG Annuities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FG Annuities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FG Annuities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FG Annuities' historical news coverage. FG Annuities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.31 and 31.67, respectively. We have considered FG Annuities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FG Annuities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FG Annuities Life is based on 3 months time horizon.
FG Annuities Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FG Annuities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FG Annuities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FG Annuities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.49 | 29.49 | 0.00 |
|
FG Annuities Hype Timeline
As of February 1, 2026 FG Annuities Life is listed for 29.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. FG Annuities is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on FG Annuities is about 838.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.47. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FG Annuities Life has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FG Annuities to cross-verify your projections.FG Annuities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FG Annuities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FG Annuities' future price movements. Getting to know how FG Annuities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FG Annuities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNO | CNO Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.05 | 2.09 | (1.93) | 7.94 | |
| GNW | Genworth Financial | (0.04) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.90 | (2.22) | 5.62 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.03 | 1.88 | (1.26) | 10.58 | |
| BHF | Brighthouse Financial | (0.31) | 12 per month | 0.71 | 0.11 | 0.67 | (1.28) | 31.02 | |
| ATH | Athene Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | (1.29) | 8 per month | 1.38 | 0.13 | 2.92 | (2.35) | 10.21 | |
| FHI | Federated Investors B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.09 | 1.88 | (2.29) | 5.15 | |
| MCY | Mercury General | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.14 | 2.59 | (1.86) | 7.17 | |
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares | (0.70) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.08 | 3.57 | (2.47) | 20.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for FG Annuities
For every potential investor in FG Annuities, whether a beginner or expert, FG Annuities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FG Annuities Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FG Annuities. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FG Annuities' price trends.FG Annuities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FG Annuities stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FG Annuities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FG Annuities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FG Annuities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FG Annuities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FG Annuities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FG Annuities stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FG Annuities Life entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FG Annuities Risk Indicators
The analysis of FG Annuities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FG Annuities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fg annuities stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FG Annuities
The number of cover stories for FG Annuities depends on current market conditions and FG Annuities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FG Annuities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FG Annuities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
FG Annuities Short Properties
FG Annuities' future price predictability will typically decrease when FG Annuities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FG Annuities Life often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FG Annuities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FG Annuities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 131 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FG Annuities to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Can Life & Health Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does FG Annuities have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FG Annuities. Market participants price FG Annuities higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating FG Annuities demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate FG Annuities Life using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating FG Annuities' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause FG Annuities' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FG Annuities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FG Annuities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, FG Annuities' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.