Franklin Financial Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| FRAF Stock | USD 57.57 0.35 0.61% |
20 Period Moving Average is applied to Franklin Financial Services's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Franklin Financial at 56.71 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This 20 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Franklin Financial at 56.71 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 2.23 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and sum of absolute errors of 93.70 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Franklin Financial's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Franklin Financial | Franklin Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Franklin Financial frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. Downside is estimated near 54.83 and upside near 58.59. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Franklin Financial stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 85.3036 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.5079 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.231 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0409 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 93.7005 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Financial
Franklin Financial's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Franklin often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration.Franklin Financial Related Equities
These stocks are related to Franklin Financial within the Financials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Franklin Financial's results. Firms that trade at big discounts to peers on core metrics may be worth more research.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Franklin Financial stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Franklin Financial.
Franklin Financial Risk Indicators
Assessing Franklin Financial's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for franklin stock. The level of risk embedded in Franklin Financial's feeds directly into exposure calibration.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Franklin Financial Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Franklin Financial is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 229.81 million |