Franklin Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| FRAF Stock | USD 50.69 1.33 2.69% |
Franklin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Franklin Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin Financial's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 12.065 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.547 |
Using Franklin Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Financial Services from the perspective of Franklin Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Franklin Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 50.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.60.Franklin Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Franklin Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Franklin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Franklin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Franklin Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Franklin Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Franklin Financial.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 50.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.60. Franklin Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 50.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Financial to cross-verify your projections. Franklin Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Franklin Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 50.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
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Franklin Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.34 and 53.04, respectively. We have considered Franklin Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8929 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1329 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0101 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0197 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.605 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Franklin Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Financial's historical news coverage. Franklin Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.36 and 53.02, respectively. We have considered Franklin Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.35 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.69 | 50.69 | 0.00 |
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Franklin Financial Hype Timeline
Franklin Financial is currently traded for 50.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.7, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Franklin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 71.0%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Financial is about 23500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.69. About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Franklin Financial last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. The entity had 125:100 split on the 29th of June 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Financial to cross-verify your projections.Franklin Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCCO | First Community | (0.24) | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.03 | 2.21 | (2.29) | 6.74 | |
| AVBH | Avidbank Holdings Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.02 | 1.75 | (1.60) | 6.08 | |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares | (0.76) | 10 per month | 1.52 | (0.01) | 3.27 | (2.28) | 8.40 | |
| FXNC | First National Corp | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.79 | 0.1 | 2.91 | (1.48) | 6.84 | |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial | 0.34 | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.03 | 2.61 | (1.96) | 9.58 | |
| EFSI | Eagle Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | (0.01) | 2.36 | (1.65) | 5.83 | |
| NKSH | National Bankshares | (0.09) | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.18 | 4.17 | (1.66) | 7.44 | |
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.84 | (0) | 2.82 | (3.22) | 11.36 | |
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares | 0.74 | 11 per month | 2.15 | 0.07 | 4.04 | (4.01) | 12.58 | |
| CBNA | Chain Bridge Bancorp | (0.25) | 9 per month | 2.20 | 0.05 | 3.33 | (4.46) | 10.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Financial
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Financial's price trends.Franklin Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin Financial
The number of cover stories for Franklin Financial depends on current market conditions and Franklin Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Franklin Financial Short Properties
Franklin Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 524.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Franklin have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Financial. Market participants price Franklin higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Franklin Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 12.065 | Dividend Share 1.31 | Earnings Share 4.74 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.547 |
The market value of Franklin Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Financial's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Franklin Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Franklin Financial's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.