Frp Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

FRPH Stock  USD 32.01  0.47  1.45%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Frp Holdings Ord on the next trading day is expected to be 31.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.96. Frp Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Frp Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Frp Holdings' current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.11, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.02. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 14.7 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 5 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Frp Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Frp Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Frp Holdings Ord on the next trading day is expected to be 31.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Frp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Frp Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Frp Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Frp HoldingsFrp Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Frp Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Frp Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Frp Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.95 and 32.45, respectively. We have considered Frp Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.01
31.20
Expected Value
32.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Frp Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Frp Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9287
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.467
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0156
SAESum of the absolute errors28.9561
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Frp Holdings Ord historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Frp Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frp Holdings Ord. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.7732.0133.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.8138.7439.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
30.3531.4132.48
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.9545.0049.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Frp Holdings

For every potential investor in Frp, whether a beginner or expert, Frp Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Frp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Frp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Frp Holdings' price trends.

Frp Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Frp Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Frp Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Frp Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Frp Holdings Ord Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Frp Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Frp Holdings' current price.

Frp Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Frp Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Frp Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Frp Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Frp Holdings Ord entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Frp Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Frp Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Frp Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting frp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Frp Holdings Ord offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Frp Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Frp Holdings Ord Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Frp Holdings Ord Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Frp Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Frp Holdings. If investors know Frp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Frp Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.048
Earnings Share
0.4
Revenue Per Share
1.665
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.015
Return On Assets
0.0018
The market value of Frp Holdings Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Frp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Frp Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Frp Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Frp Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Frp Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Frp Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Frp Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Frp Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.