Fortuna Silver Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| FSM Stock | USD 11.48 0.17 1.46% |
Fortuna Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Fortuna Silver's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fortuna Silver's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fortuna Silver fundamentals over time.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Fortuna Silver's stock price is about 66. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fortuna, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.352 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2732 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7664 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3463 | Wall Street Target Price 11 |
Using Fortuna Silver hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortuna Silver Mines from the perspective of Fortuna Silver response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fortuna Silver using Fortuna Silver's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fortuna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fortuna Silver's stock price.
Fortuna Silver Short Interest
An investor who is long Fortuna Silver may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fortuna Silver and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fortuna Silver with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.7738 | Short Percent 0.0367 | Short Ratio 2.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.3 M | 50 Day MA 9.69 |
Fortuna Relative Strength Index
Fortuna Silver Mines Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fortuna Silver's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fortuna. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fortuna can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fortuna Silver Mines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fortuna Silver's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fortuna Silver.
Fortuna Silver Implied Volatility | 1.29 |
Fortuna Silver's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fortuna Silver Mines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fortuna Silver's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fortuna Silver stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fortuna Silver's options are near their expiration.
Fortuna Silver after-hype prediction price | USD 11.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortuna Silver to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fortuna contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fortuna Silver Mines will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0806% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Fortuna Silver trading at USD 11.48, that is roughly USD 0.009256 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fortuna Silver's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fortuna Silver Mines options at the current volatility level of 1.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Fortuna Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fortuna Silver's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fortuna Silver's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fortuna Silver stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fortuna Silver's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fortuna Silver's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fortuna Silver is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fortuna. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fortuna Silver Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fortuna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortuna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortuna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| 0.12 | (0.60) |
| Check Fortuna Silver Volatility | Backtest Fortuna Silver | Information Ratio |
Fortuna Silver Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 Fortuna Silver Mines was traded for 11.48 at the closing time. Highest Fortuna Silver's price during the trading hours was 12.54 and the lowest price during the day was 11.46 . The net volume was 13.6 M. The overall trading history on the 26th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 7.06% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Fortuna Silver to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Fortuna Silver
For every potential investor in Fortuna, whether a beginner or expert, Fortuna Silver's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fortuna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fortuna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fortuna Silver's price trends.Fortuna Silver Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fortuna Silver stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fortuna Silver could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortuna Silver by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fortuna Silver Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fortuna Silver stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fortuna Silver shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fortuna Silver stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fortuna Silver Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fortuna Silver Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fortuna Silver's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortuna Silver's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fortuna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Variance | 7.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fortuna Silver
The number of cover stories for Fortuna Silver depends on current market conditions and Fortuna Silver's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fortuna Silver is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fortuna Silver's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Fortuna Silver Short Properties
Fortuna Silver's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fortuna Silver's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fortuna Silver Mines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fortuna Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortuna Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 231.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortuna Silver to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortuna Silver. If investors know Fortuna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fortuna Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.352 | Earnings Share 0.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.383 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Fortuna Silver Mines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fortuna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fortuna Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fortuna Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fortuna Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fortuna Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortuna Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortuna Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortuna Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.