FirstService Corp Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FSV Stock | USD 154.44 3.45 2.28% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FirstService Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 153.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.09. FirstService Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of FirstService Corp's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FirstService Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5009 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.7119 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.2022 | Wall Street Target Price 208.2857 |
Using FirstService Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FirstService Corp from the perspective of FirstService Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FirstService Corp using FirstService Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FirstService using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FirstService Corp's stock price.
FirstService Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long FirstService Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about FirstService Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge FirstService Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 176.0634 | Short Percent 0.0069 | Short Ratio 1.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 491.9 K | 50 Day MA 155.7019 |
FirstService Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FirstService Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FirstService. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FirstService can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FirstService Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FirstService Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FirstService Corp.
FirstService Corp Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
FirstService Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FirstService Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FirstService Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FirstService Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when FirstService Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FirstService Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 153.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.09. FirstService Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 154.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 FirstService Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast FirstService Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in FirstService Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for FirstService Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current FirstService Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to FirstService Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of FirstService Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FirstService. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
FirstService Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FirstService price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FirstService using various technical indicators. When you analyze FirstService charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FirstService Corp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FirstService Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 153.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05, mean absolute percentage error of 9.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FirstService Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FirstService Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FirstService Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FirstService Corp | FirstService Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FirstService Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FirstService Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FirstService Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 151.69 and 155.19, respectively. We have considered FirstService Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FirstService Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FirstService Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5188 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0524 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0129 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 121.09 |
Predictive Modules for FirstService Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FirstService Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FirstService Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for FirstService Corp
For every potential investor in FirstService, whether a beginner or expert, FirstService Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FirstService Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FirstService. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FirstService Corp's price trends.FirstService Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FirstService Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FirstService Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FirstService Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FirstService Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FirstService Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FirstService Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FirstService Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FirstService Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FirstService Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FirstService Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FirstService Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FirstService Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of FirstService Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FirstService Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting firstservice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for FirstService Stock Analysis
When running FirstService Corp's price analysis, check to measure FirstService Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstService Corp is operating at the current time. Most of FirstService Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstService Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstService Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstService Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.