Fiverr International Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| FVRR Stock | USD 17.00 0.31 1.86% |
Fiverr Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Fiverr International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fiverr International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fiverr International fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fiverr International's share price is approaching 37. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fiverr International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.929 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7245 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7768 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9765 | Wall Street Target Price 31.9 |
Using Fiverr International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fiverr International from the perspective of Fiverr International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fiverr International using Fiverr International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fiverr using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fiverr International's stock price.
Fiverr International Short Interest
An investor who is long Fiverr International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fiverr International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fiverr International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 24.3635 | Short Percent 0.121 | Short Ratio 5.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.4 M | 50 Day MA 19.6594 |
Fiverr Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fiverr International on the next trading day is expected to be 16.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.73.Fiverr International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fiverr International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fiverr. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fiverr can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fiverr International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fiverr International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fiverr International.
Fiverr International Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
Fiverr International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fiverr International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fiverr International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fiverr International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fiverr International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fiverr International on the next trading day is expected to be 16.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.73. Fiverr International after-hype prediction price | USD 16.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fiverr International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fiverr contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fiverr International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Fiverr International trading at USD 17.0, that is roughly USD 0.007331 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fiverr International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fiverr International options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Fiverr Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fiverr International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fiverr International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fiverr International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fiverr International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fiverr International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fiverr International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fiverr. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fiverr International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fiverr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fiverr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fiverr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fiverr International Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fiverr International on the next trading day is expected to be 16.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fiverr Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fiverr International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fiverr International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fiverr International | Fiverr International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fiverr International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fiverr International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fiverr International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.38 and 19.31, respectively. We have considered Fiverr International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fiverr International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fiverr International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3741 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1421 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4191 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0215 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.725 |
Predictive Modules for Fiverr International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiverr International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fiverr International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fiverr International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fiverr International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fiverr International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fiverr International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fiverr International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fiverr International's historical news coverage. Fiverr International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.16 and 19.10, respectively. We have considered Fiverr International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fiverr International is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fiverr International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fiverr International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fiverr International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fiverr International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fiverr International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.47 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.00 | 16.63 | 0.36 |
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Fiverr International Hype Timeline
Fiverr International is currently traded for 17.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Fiverr is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Fiverr International is about 1170.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.91. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fiverr International has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fiverr International to cross-verify your projections.Fiverr International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fiverr International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fiverr International's future price movements. Getting to know how Fiverr International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fiverr International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSTK | Shutterstock | 0.15 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.72 | (4.09) | 12.18 | |
| EVER | EverQuote Class A | 0.51 | 8 per month | 2.08 | 0.07 | 4.31 | (3.84) | 14.16 | |
| GETY | Getty Images Holdings | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.51 | (6.63) | 18.86 | |
| GRPN | Groupon | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.05 | (6.87) | 18.61 | |
| ATHM | Autohome | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.84 | (3.05) | 7.71 | |
| NXDR | NXDR | (0.02) | 10 per month | 3.65 | 0.02 | 8.06 | (5.73) | 40.31 | |
| MAX | MediaAlpha | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.25 | (3.46) | 17.70 | |
| SMWB | SimilarWeb | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.90 | (6.12) | 15.47 | |
| DLX | Deluxe | (0.36) | 13 per month | 1.42 | 0.15 | 3.55 | (2.39) | 18.48 | |
| CABO | Cable One | (2.25) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 4.00 | (7.60) | 17.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fiverr International
For every potential investor in Fiverr, whether a beginner or expert, Fiverr International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fiverr Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fiverr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fiverr International's price trends.Fiverr International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fiverr International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fiverr International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fiverr International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fiverr International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fiverr International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fiverr International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fiverr International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fiverr International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fiverr International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fiverr International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fiverr International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fiverr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Variance | 5.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fiverr International
The number of cover stories for Fiverr International depends on current market conditions and Fiverr International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fiverr International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fiverr International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fiverr International Short Properties
Fiverr International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fiverr International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fiverr International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fiverr International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiverr International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 567.3 M |
Additional Tools for Fiverr Stock Analysis
When running Fiverr International's price analysis, check to measure Fiverr International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fiverr International is operating at the current time. Most of Fiverr International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fiverr International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fiverr International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fiverr International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.