GDS Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GDS Stock  USD 38.44  0.77  2.04%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GDS Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.69. GDS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of GDS Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GDS Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GDS Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GDS Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GDS Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GDS Holdings' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.86)
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.528
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.38)
Wall Street Target Price
48.4268
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.42)
Using GDS Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GDS Holdings from the perspective of GDS Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GDS Holdings using GDS Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GDS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GDS Holdings' stock price.

GDS Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long GDS Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GDS Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge GDS Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.771
Short Percent
0.0786
Short Ratio
5.19
Shares Short Prior Month
8.5 M
50 Day MA
34.2606

GDS Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to GDS Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GDS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GDS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GDS Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GDS Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GDS Holdings.

GDS Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.57  
GDS Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GDS Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GDS Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GDS Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when GDS Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GDS Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.69.

GDS Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GDS Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy GDS Stock please use our How to Invest in GDS Holdings guide.Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 5.16 in 2026, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (40.94). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 133.7 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (1.3 B) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 GDS Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GDS Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GDS Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GDS Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GDS Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to GDS Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GDS Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GDS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

GDS Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GDS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GDS using various technical indicators. When you analyze GDS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the GDS Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2014-12-31
Previous Quarter
13.1 B
Current Value
13.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
4.5 B
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for GDS Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of GDS Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

GDS Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GDS Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GDS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GDS Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GDS Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GDS HoldingsGDS Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GDS Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GDS Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GDS Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.47 and 42.71, respectively. We have considered GDS Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.44
39.59
Expected Value
42.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GDS Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GDS Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.647
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1885
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0353
SAESum of the absolute errors73.688
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of GDS Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict GDS Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for GDS Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GDS Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GDS Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.2838.4041.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.2439.3642.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.8037.3839.95
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
44.0748.4353.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GDS Holdings

For every potential investor in GDS, whether a beginner or expert, GDS Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GDS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GDS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GDS Holdings' price trends.

GDS Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GDS Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GDS Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GDS Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GDS Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GDS Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GDS Holdings' current price.

GDS Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GDS Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GDS Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GDS Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GDS Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GDS Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of GDS Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GDS Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gds stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for GDS Stock Analysis

When running GDS Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GDS Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDS Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GDS Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDS Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDS Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDS Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.