Gds Holdings Stock Price Patterns
| GDS Stock | USD 44.69 1.74 3.75% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.86) | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.417 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.38) | Wall Street Target Price 50.5009 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.42) |
Using GDS Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GDS Holdings from the perspective of GDS Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GDS Holdings using GDS Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GDS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GDS Holdings' stock price.
GDS Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long GDS Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GDS Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge GDS Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.4115 | Short Percent 0.0909 | Short Ratio 6.15 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.5 M | 50 Day MA 37.4452 |
GDS Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to GDS Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GDS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GDS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GDS Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GDS Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GDS Holdings.
GDS Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
GDS Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GDS Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GDS Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GDS Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when GDS Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GDS Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GDS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GDS Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 43.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GDS contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GDS Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With GDS Holdings trading at USD 44.69, that is roughly USD 0.0184 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GDS Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring GDS Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out GDS Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GDS Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GDS Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GDS Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GDS Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GDS Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GDS Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GDS Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GDS Holdings' historical news coverage. GDS Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.85 and 46.87, respectively. We have considered GDS Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GDS Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GDS Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
GDS Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GDS Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GDS Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GDS Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 3.51 | 0.86 | 0.41 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
44.69 | 43.36 | 2.98 |
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GDS Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February GDS Holdings is traded for 44.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.86, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.41. GDS is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 43.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 190.76%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.98%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on GDS Holdings is about 403.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.10. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of GDS Holdings was currently reported as 19.1. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out GDS Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GDS Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GDS Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GDS Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how GDS Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GDS Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WAY | Waystar Holding Corp | 1.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.29 | (4.57) | 15.21 | |
| KD | Kyndryl Holdings | (0.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.99 | (4.59) | 10.26 | |
| EXLS | ExlService Holdings | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.94 | (2.90) | 9.47 | |
| G | Genpact Limited | 0.12 | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.07 | 2.16 | (2.53) | 18.47 | |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories | (0.22) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.64 | (1.56) | 4.81 | |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.53 | (2.64) | 9.36 | |
| CVLT | CommVault Systems | 1.87 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.42 | (4.28) | 35.55 | |
| ONTO | Onto Innovation | (2.84) | 4 per month | 2.39 | 0.20 | 5.53 | (4.35) | 10.98 | |
| LFUS | Littelfuse | 10.60 | 10 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 3.90 | (3.64) | 8.56 | |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments | (1.67) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.21 | (3.83) | 11.49 |
GDS Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GDS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GDS using various technical indicators. When you analyze GDS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GDS Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GDS Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GDS Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GDS Holdings based on analysis of GDS Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GDS Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GDS Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004474 | 0.001723 | 0.001551 | 0.001542 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.21 | 3.05 | 3.5 | 3.33 |
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Additional Tools for GDS Stock Analysis
When running GDS Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GDS Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDS Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GDS Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDS Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDS Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDS Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.