Geo Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

GEO Stock  USD 16.05  0.32  1.95%   
Geo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Geo's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Geo's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Geo fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Geo's share price is approaching 45. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Geo, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Geo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Geo Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Geo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.526
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.315
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8533
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.3275
Wall Street Target Price
32.25
Using Geo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Geo Group from the perspective of Geo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Geo using Geo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Geo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Geo's stock price.

Geo Short Interest

An investor who is long Geo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Geo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Geo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.5849
Short Percent
0.0757
Short Ratio
5.08
Shares Short Prior Month
9.3 M
50 Day MA
16.4626

Geo Relative Strength Index

Geo Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Geo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Geo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Geo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Geo Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Geo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Geo.

Geo Implied Volatility

    
  0.5  
Geo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Geo Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Geo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Geo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Geo's options are near their expiration.

Geo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Geo to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Geo contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Geo Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Geo trading at USD 16.05, that is roughly USD 0.005016 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Geo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Geo Group options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Geo Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Geo's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Geo's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Geo stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Geo's open interest, investors have to compare it to Geo's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Geo is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Geo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Geo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Geo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Geo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Geo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Geo Group has current Accumulation Distribution of 54899.32. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Geo is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Geo Group to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Geo trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Geo VolatilityBacktest GeoInformation Ratio  

Geo Trading Date Momentum

On January 28 2026 Geo Group was traded for  16.05  at the closing time. Highest Geo's price during the trading hours was 16.44  and the lowest price during the day was  15.98 . The net volume was 2 M. The overall trading history on the 28th of January did not cause price change. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.93% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Geo to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Geo

For every potential investor in Geo, whether a beginner or expert, Geo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Geo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Geo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Geo's price trends.

Geo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Geo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Geo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Geo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Geo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Geo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Geo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Geo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Geo Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Geo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Geo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Geo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting geo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Geo

The number of cover stories for Geo depends on current market conditions and Geo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Geo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Geo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Geo Short Properties

Geo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Geo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Geo Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Geo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding134.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76.9 M
When determining whether Geo Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geo Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geo Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Geo to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Commercial Services & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Geo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. Market participants price Geo higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Geo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.526
Earnings Share
1.69
Revenue Per Share
18.405
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Return On Assets
0.0472
Investors evaluate Geo Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Geo's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Geo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Geo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.