Gaming Leisure Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GLPI Stock  USD 50.65  0.11  0.22%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Gaming Leisure Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 50.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.56. Gaming Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gaming Leisure's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Gaming Leisure's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.22, while Inventory Turnover is forecasted to increase to (53.6 M). . The Gaming Leisure's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 826.7 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 191.6 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Gaming Leisure Properties is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Gaming Leisure 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Gaming Leisure Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 50.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gaming Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gaming Leisure's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gaming Leisure Stock Forecast Pattern

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Gaming Leisure Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gaming Leisure's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gaming Leisure's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.65 and 51.40, respectively. We have considered Gaming Leisure's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.65
50.52
Expected Value
51.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gaming Leisure stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gaming Leisure stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.0498
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0116
MADMean absolute deviation0.3545
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.007
SAESum of the absolute errors20.56
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Gaming Leisure. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Gaming Leisure Properties and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Gaming Leisure

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaming Leisure Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.7950.6651.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.9749.8450.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
48.3349.7051.07
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.8854.8160.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gaming Leisure

For every potential investor in Gaming, whether a beginner or expert, Gaming Leisure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gaming Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gaming. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gaming Leisure's price trends.

Gaming Leisure Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gaming Leisure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gaming Leisure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gaming Leisure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gaming Leisure Properties Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gaming Leisure's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gaming Leisure's current price.

Gaming Leisure Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gaming Leisure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gaming Leisure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gaming Leisure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gaming Leisure Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gaming Leisure Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gaming Leisure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gaming Leisure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gaming stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Gaming Leisure Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gaming Leisure's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gaming Leisure Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gaming Leisure Properties Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaming Leisure to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaming Leisure. If investors know Gaming will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaming Leisure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
3.01
Earnings Share
2.86
Revenue Per Share
5.568
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.072
The market value of Gaming Leisure Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaming that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaming Leisure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaming Leisure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaming Leisure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaming Leisure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaming Leisure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gaming Leisure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaming Leisure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.