Gaming Leisure Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

GLPI Stock  USD 44.42  0.27  0.60%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gaming Leisure Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 44.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.77. Gaming Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gaming Leisure's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Gaming Leisure's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gaming Leisure's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gaming Leisure Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gaming Leisure's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.266
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.785
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.7949
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.1
Wall Street Target Price
53.8587
Using Gaming Leisure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gaming Leisure Properties from the perspective of Gaming Leisure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gaming Leisure using Gaming Leisure's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gaming using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gaming Leisure's stock price.

Gaming Leisure Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Gaming Leisure's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gaming. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gaming Leisure stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
46.4533
Short Percent
0.0475
Short Ratio
3.11
Shares Short Prior Month
8.8 M
50 Day MA
44.0516

Gaming Leisure Properties Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Gaming Leisure's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gaming. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gaming can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gaming Leisure Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gaming Leisure's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gaming Leisure.

Gaming Leisure Implied Volatility

    
  0.32  
Gaming Leisure's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gaming Leisure Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gaming Leisure's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gaming Leisure stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gaming Leisure's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gaming Leisure Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 44.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.77.

Gaming Leisure after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 44.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaming Leisure to cross-verify your projections.
The Gaming Leisure's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.21, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 8.98. . The Gaming Leisure's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 826.7 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 198.9 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Gaming Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gaming Leisure's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gaming Leisure's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gaming Leisure stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gaming Leisure's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gaming Leisure's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gaming Leisure is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gaming. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Gaming Leisure Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gaming price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gaming using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gaming charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Gaming Leisure works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Gaming Leisure Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gaming Leisure Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 44.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gaming Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gaming Leisure's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gaming Leisure Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gaming LeisureGaming Leisure Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Gaming Leisure Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gaming Leisure's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gaming Leisure's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.19 and 45.65, respectively. We have considered Gaming Leisure's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
44.42
44.42
Expected Value
45.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gaming Leisure stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gaming Leisure stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.077
MADMean absolute deviation0.4129
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0095
SAESum of the absolute errors24.7716
When Gaming Leisure Properties prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Gaming Leisure Properties trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Gaming Leisure observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gaming Leisure

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaming Leisure Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.2044.4345.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.9848.8950.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
40.7843.3745.95
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.0153.8659.78
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gaming Leisure

For every potential investor in Gaming, whether a beginner or expert, Gaming Leisure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gaming Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gaming. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gaming Leisure's price trends.

Gaming Leisure Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gaming Leisure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gaming Leisure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gaming Leisure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gaming Leisure Properties Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gaming Leisure's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gaming Leisure's current price.

Gaming Leisure Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gaming Leisure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gaming Leisure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gaming Leisure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gaming Leisure Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gaming Leisure Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gaming Leisure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gaming Leisure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gaming stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Gaming Leisure Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gaming Leisure's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gaming Leisure Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gaming Leisure Properties Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaming Leisure to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaming Leisure. If investors know Gaming will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaming Leisure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.266
Dividend Share
3.08
Earnings Share
2.79
Revenue Per Share
5.685
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.032
The market value of Gaming Leisure Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaming that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaming Leisure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaming Leisure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaming Leisure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaming Leisure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaming Leisure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gaming Leisure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaming Leisure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.