Corning Incorporated Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| GLW Stock | USD 109.74 14.79 15.58% |
Corning Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Corning Incorporated's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Corning, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6724 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5213 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0937 | Wall Street Target Price 95.9231 |
Using Corning Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Corning Incorporated from the perspective of Corning Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Corning Incorporated using Corning Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Corning using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Corning Incorporated's stock price.
Corning Incorporated Short Interest
An investor who is long Corning Incorporated may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Corning Incorporated and may potentially protect profits, hedge Corning Incorporated with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 68.9832 | Short Percent 0.0172 | Short Ratio 2.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.6 M | 50 Day MA 87.4996 |
Corning Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Corning Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 109.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.89.Corning Incorporated Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Corning Incorporated's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Corning. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Corning can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Corning Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Corning Incorporated's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Corning Incorporated.
Corning Incorporated Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Corning Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Corning Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Corning Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Corning Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Corning Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Corning Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 109.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.89. Corning Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 109.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Corning Incorporated to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Corning contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Corning Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Corning Incorporated trading at USD 109.74, that is roughly USD 0.0343 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Corning Incorporated's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Corning Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Corning Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Corning Incorporated's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Corning Incorporated's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Corning Incorporated stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Corning Incorporated's open interest, investors have to compare it to Corning Incorporated's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Corning Incorporated is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Corning. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Corning Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Corning price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Corning using various technical indicators. When you analyze Corning charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Corning Incorporated Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Corning Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 109.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.76, mean absolute percentage error of 7.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Corning Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Corning Incorporated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Corning Incorporated Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Corning Incorporated | Corning Incorporated Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Corning Incorporated Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Corning Incorporated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Corning Incorporated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 106.64 and 112.82, respectively. We have considered Corning Incorporated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Corning Incorporated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Corning Incorporated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3395 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7648 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0197 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.89 |
Predictive Modules for Corning Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corning Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Corning Incorporated After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Corning Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Corning Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Corning Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Corning Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Corning Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Corning Incorporated's historical news coverage. Corning Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 106.68 and 112.80, respectively. We have considered Corning Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Corning Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Corning Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Corning Incorporated Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Corning Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Corning Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Corning Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.09 | 0.57 | 0.70 | 6 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
109.74 | 109.74 | 0.00 |
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Corning Incorporated Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Corning Incorporated is traded for 109.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.7. Corning is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Corning Incorporated is about 168.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 109.04. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.64. Corning Incorporated had 3:1 split on the 4th of October 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Corning Incorporated to cross-verify your projections.Corning Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Corning Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Corning Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Corning Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Corning Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TEL | TE Connectivity | (5.43) | 7 per month | 2.29 | (0.02) | 2.24 | (3.25) | 9.90 | |
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | (1.84) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.78 | (7.55) | 15.68 | |
| SNPS | Synopsys | 11.83 | 7 per month | 2.09 | 0.05 | 3.78 | (3.17) | 9.95 | |
| MSI | Motorola Solutions | (6.79) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.52 | (2.19) | 6.99 | |
| RBLX | Roblox Corp | (5.71) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.38 | (6.18) | 20.20 | |
| ADSK | Autodesk | (7.67) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.68 | (3.45) | 8.22 | |
| FTNT | Fortinet | (1.16) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.47 | (2.63) | 8.99 | |
| CLS | Celestica | (1.82) | 20 per month | 4.90 | 0.07 | 7.89 | (7.56) | 27.95 | |
| INFY | Infosys Ltd ADR | (0.09) | 6 per month | 1.59 | 0.03 | 3.57 | (2.59) | 13.18 | |
| KEYS | Keysight Technologies | 0.30 | 12 per month | 1.31 | 0.18 | 2.87 | (2.83) | 13.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Corning Incorporated
For every potential investor in Corning, whether a beginner or expert, Corning Incorporated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Corning Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Corning. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Corning Incorporated's price trends.Corning Incorporated Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Corning Incorporated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Corning Incorporated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Corning Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Corning Incorporated Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Corning Incorporated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Corning Incorporated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Corning Incorporated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Corning Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2.8 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.135945 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.16 | |||
| Day Median Price | 107.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 108.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 9.65 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 14.79 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 70.16 |
Corning Incorporated Risk Indicators
The analysis of Corning Incorporated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Corning Incorporated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting corning stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Variance | 9.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Corning Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Corning Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Corning Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Corning Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Corning Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Corning Incorporated Short Properties
Corning Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Corning Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Corning Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Corning Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Corning Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 869 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Additional Tools for Corning Stock Analysis
When running Corning Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Corning Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Corning Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Corning Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Corning Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Corning Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Corning Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.