Gentex Stock Forward View
| GNTX Stock | USD 22.49 1.55 6.45% |
Gentex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Gentex's share price is approaching 41. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gentex, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4112 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7912 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9665 | Wall Street Target Price 29.4375 |
Using Gentex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gentex from the perspective of Gentex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gentex using Gentex's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gentex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gentex's stock price.
Gentex Short Interest
An investor who is long Gentex may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gentex and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gentex with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 24.2691 | Short Percent 0.0355 | Short Ratio 3.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.1 M | 50 Day MA 23.4182 |
Gentex Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gentex on the next trading day is expected to be 23.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.65.Gentex Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gentex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gentex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gentex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gentex. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gentex's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gentex.
Gentex Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Gentex's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gentex stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gentex's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gentex stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gentex's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gentex on the next trading day is expected to be 23.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.65. Gentex after-hype prediction price | USD 24.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gentex to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gentex contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gentex will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Gentex trading at USD 22.49, that is roughly USD 0.00998 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gentex's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gentex options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Gentex Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gentex's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gentex's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gentex stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gentex's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gentex's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gentex is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gentex. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gentex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gentex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gentex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gentex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Gentex's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 119.8 M | Current Value 178.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 187.4 M |
Gentex Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gentex on the next trading day is expected to be 23.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gentex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gentex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gentex Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gentex | Gentex Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gentex Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gentex's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gentex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.70 and 24.42, respectively. We have considered Gentex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gentex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gentex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1693 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3058 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.6511 |
Predictive Modules for Gentex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gentex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gentex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gentex After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gentex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gentex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gentex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gentex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gentex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gentex's historical news coverage. Gentex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.69 and 25.39, respectively. We have considered Gentex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gentex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gentex is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gentex Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gentex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gentex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gentex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.49 | 24.04 | 0.00 |
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Gentex Hype Timeline
Gentex is currently traded for 22.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Gentex is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gentex is about 125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.57. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gentex was currently reported as 11.4. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. Gentex last dividend was issued on the 7th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of January 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gentex to cross-verify your projections.Gentex Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gentex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gentex's future price movements. Getting to know how Gentex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gentex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 7.80 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.58 | (2.66) | 6.35 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | 5.08 | 5 per month | 1.29 | 0.12 | 3.50 | (2.18) | 8.69 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | 0.42 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.17 | (2.64) | 9.77 | |
| LCID | Lucid Group | 0.20 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.28 | (7.29) | 21.68 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.52 | 0.11 | 2.13 | (1.31) | 19.98 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.08 | (1.91) | 9.71 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | (3.90) | 8 per month | 1.77 | (0.03) | 3.65 | (2.74) | 10.40 | |
| BBWI | Bath Body Works | (0.31) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.78 | (4.50) | 27.08 | |
| M | Macys Inc | 1.41 | 11 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 | |
| GTX | Garrett Motion | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.49 | 0.04 | 2.86 | (2.62) | 7.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gentex
For every potential investor in Gentex, whether a beginner or expert, Gentex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gentex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gentex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gentex's price trends.Gentex Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gentex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gentex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gentex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gentex Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gentex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gentex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gentex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gentex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.78) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.55) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.99 |
Gentex Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gentex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gentex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gentex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9381 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gentex
The number of cover stories for Gentex depends on current market conditions and Gentex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gentex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gentex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gentex Short Properties
Gentex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gentex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gentex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gentex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gentex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 255.6 M |
Additional Tools for Gentex Stock Analysis
When running Gentex's price analysis, check to measure Gentex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gentex is operating at the current time. Most of Gentex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gentex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gentex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gentex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.