Gentex Stock Price Prediction
| GNTX Stock | USD 28.09 0.17 0.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8745 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0396 | Wall Street Target Price 34.0182 |
Using Gentex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gentex from the perspective of Gentex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gentex using Gentex's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gentex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gentex's stock price.
Gentex Short Interest
An investor who is long Gentex may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gentex and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gentex with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 31.2795 | Short Percent 0.0288 | Short Ratio 4.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.9 M | 50 Day MA 29.159 |
Gentex Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gentex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gentex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gentex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gentex. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gentex's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gentex.
Gentex Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
Gentex's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gentex stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gentex's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gentex stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gentex's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gentex to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gentex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gentex after-hype prediction price | USD 27.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gentex contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gentex will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Gentex trading at USD 28.09, that is roughly USD 0.0118 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gentex's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gentex options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Gentex |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gentex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gentex After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gentex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gentex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gentex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gentex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gentex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gentex's historical news coverage. Gentex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.59 and 29.07, respectively. We have considered Gentex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gentex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gentex is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gentex Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gentex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gentex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gentex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.24 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.09 | 27.83 | 0.32 |
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Gentex Hype Timeline
Gentex is currently traded for 28.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gentex is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 193.75%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Gentex is about 5757.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.09. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gentex was currently reported as 10.63. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. Gentex last dividend was issued on the 8th of January 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of January 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Gentex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gentex Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gentex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gentex's future price movements. Getting to know how Gentex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gentex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADNT | Adient PLC | (0.95) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.70 | (4.05) | 12.63 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | 1.16 | 9 per month | 1.55 | 0.01 | 2.47 | (2.44) | 7.87 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (1.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.00 | (4.37) | 10.26 | |
| DAN | Dana Inc | 0.22 | 10 per month | 3.55 | 0.17 | 7.05 | (3.69) | 20.84 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | (2.23) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.31 | (2.57) | 7.29 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | 2.72 | 9 per month | 1.30 | 0.08 | 2.98 | (2.61) | 15.36 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.42 | (3.14) | 7.00 | |
| MNRO | Monro Muffler Brake | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.85 | (3.34) | 10.44 | |
| MPAA | Motorcar Parts of | 0.06 | 10 per month | 2.81 | 0.09 | 6.21 | (5.00) | 22.33 | |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.70 | 0.02 | 3.02 | (2.39) | 24.56 | |
| SRI | Stoneridge | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.26 | (6.54) | 30.05 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | (0.20) | 10 per month | 2.55 | (0.01) | 2.45 | (2.91) | 13.46 | |
| VC | Visteon Corp | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.27 | (3.23) | 10.13 |
Gentex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gentex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gentex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gentex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gentex Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gentex stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gentex, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gentex based on analysis of Gentex hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gentex's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gentex's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.018 | 0.015 | 0.0172 | 0.0212 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.28 | 3.26 | 2.93 | 3.33 |
Story Coverage note for Gentex
The number of cover stories for Gentex depends on current market conditions and Gentex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gentex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gentex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gentex Short Properties
Gentex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gentex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gentex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gentex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gentex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 240.8 M |
Additional Tools for Gentex Stock Analysis
When running Gentex's price analysis, check to measure Gentex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gentex is operating at the current time. Most of Gentex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gentex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gentex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gentex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.