Granite Ridge Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GRNT Stock | USD 5.10 0.14 2.82% |
Granite Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Granite Ridge's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.592 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.115 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.536 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.474 | Wall Street Target Price 6.4 |
Using Granite Ridge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Granite Ridge Resources from the perspective of Granite Ridge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Granite Ridge using Granite Ridge's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Granite using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Granite Ridge's stock price.
Granite Ridge Implied Volatility | 1.3 |
Granite Ridge's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Granite Ridge Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Granite Ridge's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Granite Ridge stock will not fluctuate a lot when Granite Ridge's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Granite Ridge Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 5.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.70. Granite Ridge after-hype prediction price | USD 5.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Granite Ridge to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Granite Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Granite Ridge's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Granite Ridge's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Granite Ridge stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Granite Ridge's open interest, investors have to compare it to Granite Ridge's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Granite Ridge is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Granite. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Granite Ridge Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Granite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Granite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Granite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Granite Ridge Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Granite Ridge Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 5.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Granite Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Granite Ridge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Granite Ridge Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Granite Ridge | Granite Ridge Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Granite Ridge Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Granite Ridge's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Granite Ridge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.77 and 7.43, respectively. We have considered Granite Ridge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Granite Ridge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Granite Ridge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.1752 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0011 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0967 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.705 |
Predictive Modules for Granite Ridge
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Granite Ridge Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Granite Ridge After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Granite Ridge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Granite Ridge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Granite Ridge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Granite Ridge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Granite Ridge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Granite Ridge's historical news coverage. Granite Ridge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.77 and 7.43, respectively. We have considered Granite Ridge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Granite Ridge is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Granite Ridge Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Granite Ridge Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Granite Ridge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Granite Ridge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Granite Ridge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.10 | 5.10 | 0.00 |
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Granite Ridge Hype Timeline
Granite Ridge Resources is currently traded for 5.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Granite is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Granite Ridge is about 4314.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.10. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Granite Ridge Resources has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 459.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The firm had 2499:1000 split on the 26th of March 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Granite Ridge to cross-verify your projections.Granite Ridge Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Granite Ridge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Granite Ridge's future price movements. Getting to know how Granite Ridge's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Granite Ridge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KOS | Kosmos Energy | 0.03 | 10 per month | 4.96 | 0.02 | 11.18 | (8.00) | 35.42 | |
| TXO | MorningStar Partners LP | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.50 | (2.82) | 6.59 | |
| VTS | Vitesse Energy | (0.10) | 6 per month | 1.71 | (0.02) | 2.98 | (2.73) | 6.95 | |
| HPK | Highpeak Energy Acquisition | 0.37 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.28 | (8.90) | 21.96 | |
| VTLE | Vital Energy | 0.76 | 8 per month | 3.23 | 0.03 | 6.39 | (5.94) | 16.09 | |
| CLB | Core Laboratories NV | 0.06 | 7 per month | 2.32 | 0.06 | 5.51 | (4.32) | 11.70 | |
| TNP | Tsakos Energy Navigation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOC | Sable Offshore Corp | (0.09) | 9 per month | 9.32 | 0.06 | 20.50 | (14.84) | 72.14 | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.81 | 0.07 | 1.45 | (1.28) | 4.94 | |
| REPX | Riley Exploration Permian | (0.68) | 10 per month | 2.10 | 0.04 | 4.57 | (3.29) | 10.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Granite Ridge
For every potential investor in Granite, whether a beginner or expert, Granite Ridge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Granite Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Granite. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Granite Ridge's price trends.Granite Ridge Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Granite Ridge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Granite Ridge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Granite Ridge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Granite Ridge Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Granite Ridge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Granite Ridge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Granite Ridge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Granite Ridge Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Granite Ridge Risk Indicators
The analysis of Granite Ridge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Granite Ridge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting granite stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Granite Ridge
The number of cover stories for Granite Ridge depends on current market conditions and Granite Ridge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Granite Ridge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Granite Ridge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Granite Ridge Short Properties
Granite Ridge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Granite Ridge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Granite Ridge Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Granite Ridge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Granite Ridge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.2 M |
Additional Tools for Granite Stock Analysis
When running Granite Ridge's price analysis, check to measure Granite Ridge's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Granite Ridge is operating at the current time. Most of Granite Ridge's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Granite Ridge's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Granite Ridge's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Granite Ridge to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.