Global Ship Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GSL Stock | USD 34.92 0.12 0.34% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Ship Lease on the next trading day is expected to be 34.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.86. Global Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Global Ship's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Global Ship's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Global Ship fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of Global Ship's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.165 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.3967 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.325 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.01 | Wall Street Target Price 37 |
Using Global Ship hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Ship Lease from the perspective of Global Ship response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Ship using Global Ship's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Ship's stock price.
Global Ship Short Interest
An investor who is long Global Ship may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Global Ship and may potentially protect profits, hedge Global Ship with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 28.404 | Short Percent 0.0201 | Short Ratio 1.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 710.2 K | 50 Day MA 33.6324 |
Global Ship Lease Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Ship's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Ship Lease. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Ship's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Ship.
Global Ship Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
Global Ship's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Ship Lease stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Ship's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Ship stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Ship's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Ship Lease on the next trading day is expected to be 34.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.86. Global Ship after-hype prediction price | USD 34.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Ship to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Global Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Global Ship's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Global Ship's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Global Ship stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Global Ship's open interest, investors have to compare it to Global Ship's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Global Ship is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Global. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Global Ship Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Global Ship Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Ship Lease on the next trading day is expected to be 34.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Ship's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Global Ship Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Global Ship | Global Ship Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Global Ship Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Global Ship's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Ship's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.05 and 36.79, respectively. We have considered Global Ship's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Ship stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Ship stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2386 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3977 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.86 |
Predictive Modules for Global Ship
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Ship Lease. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Ship's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Global Ship
For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Ship's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Ship's price trends.Global Ship Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Ship stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Ship could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Ship by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global Ship Lease Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Global Ship's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Global Ship's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Global Ship Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Ship stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Ship shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Ship stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Ship Lease entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Global Ship Risk Indicators
The analysis of Global Ship's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Ship's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Ship. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Ship listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.165 | Dividend Share 2.125 | Earnings Share 9.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of Global Ship Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Ship's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Ship's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Ship's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Ship's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Ship's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Ship is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Ship's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.