Global Ship Lease Stock Price Prediction

GSL Stock  USD 22.85  0.48  2.06%   
As of now, The value of relative strength index of Global Ship's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Global Ship, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Global Ship's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Global Ship and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Global Ship's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Ship Lease, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Global Ship's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.41
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.7633
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.93
Wall Street Target Price
31
Using Global Ship hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Ship Lease from the perspective of Global Ship response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Ship to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Global Ship after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Global Ship Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Ship's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.5725.5027.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.4322.1423.85
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.8027.2530.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.402.442.50
Details

Global Ship After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Global Ship at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Ship or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Ship, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Global Ship Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Global Ship's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Ship's historical news coverage. Global Ship's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.98 and 24.40, respectively. We have considered Global Ship's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.85
22.69
After-hype Price
24.40
Upside
Global Ship is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Ship Lease is based on 3 months time horizon.

Global Ship Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Ship is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Ship backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Ship, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.72
  0.18 
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.85
22.69
0.70 
143.33  
Notes

Global Ship Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Global Ship Lease is traded for 22.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Global is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 143.33%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Global Ship is about 738.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.82. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Global Ship Lease recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.82. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. The firm had 1:8 split on the 25th of March 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Global Ship Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Global Ship Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Global Ship's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Ship's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Ship's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Ship may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CMRECostamare(0.03)7 per month 2.22 (0.0003) 3.19 (4.34) 9.49 
NMMNavios Maritime Partners(0.93)10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.85 (3.09) 12.91 
GNKGenco Shipping Trading 0.23 7 per month 1.59 (0.03) 2.54 (2.83) 7.25 
EGLEEagle Bulk Shipping 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.14 (3.92) 10.32 
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers(0.05)11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.44 (3.57) 8.46 
GOGLGolden Ocean Group(0.03)11 per month 2.11 (0.03) 3.81 (3.32) 11.52 
DSXDiana Shipping(0.05)10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.33 (3.35) 11.03 
DACDanaos(0.49)10 per month 1.36 (0.03) 2.46 (2.43) 7.45 
CPLPCapital Product Partners 0.19 8 per month 2.13 (0.01) 3.59 (3.04) 14.99 
ESEAEuroseas(1.17)12 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.85 (4.63) 16.76 

Global Ship Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Global Ship Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Global Ship stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Ship Lease, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Ship based on analysis of Global Ship hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Ship's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Ship's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.09850.08950.0763
Price To Sales Ratio1.011.040.7

Story Coverage note for Global Ship

The number of cover stories for Global Ship depends on current market conditions and Global Ship's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Ship is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Ship's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Global Ship Short Properties

Global Ship's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Ship's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Ship Lease often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Ship's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Ship's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments209.4 M
When determining whether Global Ship Lease is a strong investment it is important to analyze Global Ship's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Global Ship's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Global Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Global Ship Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Ship. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Ship listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Dividend Share
1.575
Earnings Share
8.82
Revenue Per Share
19.793
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Global Ship Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Ship's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Ship's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Ship's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Ship's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Ship's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Ship is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Ship's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.