Horizon Bancorp Stock Forward View
| HBNC Stock | USD 18.19 0.15 0.83% |
Horizon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Horizon Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Horizon Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Horizon Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Horizon Bancorp's share price is at 59. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Horizon Bancorp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.469 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4767 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.05 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.19 | Wall Street Target Price 21.25 |
Using Horizon Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Horizon Bancorp from the perspective of Horizon Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Horizon Bancorp using Horizon Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Horizon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Horizon Bancorp's stock price.
Horizon Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Horizon Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Horizon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Horizon Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 16.0517 | Short Percent 0.029 | Short Ratio 3.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 17.4024 |
Horizon Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.78.Horizon Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Horizon Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Horizon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Horizon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Horizon Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Horizon Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Horizon Bancorp.
Horizon Bancorp Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Horizon Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Horizon Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Horizon Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Horizon Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Horizon Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.78. Horizon Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 17.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Horizon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Horizon Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Horizon Bancorp trading at USD 18.19, that is roughly USD 0.0119 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Horizon Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Horizon Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Horizon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Horizon Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Horizon Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Horizon Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Horizon Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Horizon Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Horizon Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Horizon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Horizon Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Horizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Horizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Horizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Horizon Bancorp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Horizon Bancorp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1995-06-30 | Previous Quarter 458.3 M | Current Value 66.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 136.1 M |
Horizon Bancorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Horizon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Horizon Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Horizon Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Horizon Bancorp | Horizon Bancorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Horizon Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Horizon Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Horizon Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.04 and 19.46, respectively. We have considered Horizon Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Horizon Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Horizon Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8832 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2868 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.7793 |
Predictive Modules for Horizon Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Horizon Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Horizon Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Horizon Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Horizon Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Horizon Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Horizon Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Horizon Bancorp's historical news coverage. Horizon Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.25 and 19.67, respectively. We have considered Horizon Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Horizon Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Horizon Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Horizon Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Horizon Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Horizon Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Horizon Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.71 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.19 | 17.96 | 1.26 |
|
Horizon Bancorp Hype Timeline
Horizon Bancorp is currently traded for 18.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Horizon is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 178.13%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Horizon Bancorp is about 363.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.30. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Horizon Bancorp recorded a loss per share of 3.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. The firm had 3:2 split on the 18th of June 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.Horizon Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Horizon Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Horizon Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Horizon Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Horizon Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.15 | 2.88 | (1.69) | 12.39 | |
| MCB | Metropolitan Bank Holding | 0.92 | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.21 | 3.81 | (1.74) | 19.32 | |
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares | 1.29 | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.07 | 2.66 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| NBBK | NB Bancorp Common | (0.33) | 5 per month | 0.96 | 0.18 | 2.93 | (1.83) | 6.22 | |
| MBWM | Mercantile Bank | (0.42) | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.18 | 3.78 | (1.75) | 9.88 | |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp | (1.45) | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.20 | 4.07 | (2.47) | 10.32 | |
| NBN | Northeast Bancorp | 1.35 | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.21 | 4.10 | (3.68) | 13.72 | |
| CCNE | CNB Financial | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 3.12 | (1.55) | 8.97 | |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | 1.26 | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.06 | 3.11 | (3.38) | 9.74 | |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 1.93 | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.10 | 3.59 | (2.36) | 10.06 |
Other Forecasting Options for Horizon Bancorp
For every potential investor in Horizon, whether a beginner or expert, Horizon Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Horizon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Horizon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Horizon Bancorp's price trends.Horizon Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Horizon Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Horizon Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Horizon Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Horizon Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Horizon Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Horizon Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Horizon Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Horizon Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6735.4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4545 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.24 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.15 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.25 |
Horizon Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Horizon Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Horizon Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting horizon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Horizon Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Horizon Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Horizon Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Horizon Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Horizon Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Horizon Bancorp Short Properties
Horizon Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Horizon Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Horizon Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Horizon Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horizon Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Horizon Stock refer to our How to Trade Horizon Stock guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Horizon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Horizon Bancorp. Market participants price Horizon higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Horizon Bancorp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.469 | Dividend Share 0.64 | Earnings Share (3.41) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.187 |
Understanding Horizon Bancorp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Horizon's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Horizon Bancorp's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Horizon Bancorp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Horizon Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Horizon Bancorp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.