Huntington Ingalls Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

HII Stock  USD 413.56  5.02  1.20%   
Huntington Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Huntington Ingalls' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Huntington Ingalls' stock price is under 68. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Huntington, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Huntington Ingalls' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Huntington Ingalls Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Huntington Ingalls hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Huntington Ingalls Industries from the perspective of Huntington Ingalls response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Huntington Ingalls Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 400.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,042.

Huntington Ingalls after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 413.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Huntington Ingalls to cross-verify your projections.

Huntington Ingalls Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Huntington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Huntington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Huntington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Huntington Ingalls price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Huntington Ingalls Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Huntington Ingalls Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 400.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.09, mean absolute percentage error of 377.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,042.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Huntington Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Huntington Ingalls' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Huntington Ingalls Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Huntington Ingalls  Huntington Ingalls Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Huntington Ingalls Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Huntington Ingalls' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Huntington Ingalls' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 397.87 and 402.24, respectively. We have considered Huntington Ingalls' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
413.56
397.87
Downside
400.05
Expected Value
402.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Huntington Ingalls stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Huntington Ingalls stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.0443
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation17.0856
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.05
SAESum of the absolute errors1042.2211
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Huntington Ingalls Industries historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Huntington Ingalls

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huntington Ingalls. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
411.37413.56415.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
372.20457.29459.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
317.00381.10445.20
Details

Huntington Ingalls After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Huntington Ingalls at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Huntington Ingalls or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Huntington Ingalls, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Huntington Ingalls Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Huntington Ingalls' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Huntington Ingalls' historical news coverage. Huntington Ingalls' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 411.37 and 415.75, respectively. We have considered Huntington Ingalls' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
413.56
411.37
Downside
413.56
After-hype Price
415.75
Upside
Huntington Ingalls is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Huntington Ingalls is based on 3 months time horizon.

Huntington Ingalls Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Huntington Ingalls is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Huntington Ingalls backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Huntington Ingalls, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
2.19
 0.00  
  0.83 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
413.56
413.56
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Huntington Ingalls Hype Timeline

On the 26th of January Huntington Ingalls is traded for 413.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.83. Huntington is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Huntington Ingalls is about 147.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 414.39. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Huntington Ingalls was currently reported as 127.01. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.31. Huntington Ingalls recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The firm had 1:2 split on the 5th of December 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Huntington Ingalls to cross-verify your projections.

Huntington Ingalls Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Huntington Ingalls' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Huntington Ingalls' future price movements. Getting to know how Huntington Ingalls' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Huntington Ingalls may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ERJEmbraer SA ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.07 (3.90) 8.04 
TXTTextron(0.52)8 per month 0.92  0.1  2.26 (1.64) 4.67 
BLDRBuilders FirstSource 0.00 0 per month 2.19 (0.01) 5.94 (3.40) 15.38 
BLDTopbuild Corp 12.45 7 per month 1.88  0.03  4.50 (3.27) 10.98 
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.62  0.03  2.47 (2.84) 7.77 
WCCWESCO International 0.00 0 per month 1.89  0.15  3.54 (3.42) 16.49 
STNStantec 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.96 (2.27) 8.69 
DRSLeonardo DRS Common 0.40 8 per month 1.75 (0.02) 3.36 (2.72) 8.16 
KRMNKarman Holdings 0.00 0 per month 3.49  0.09  7.64 (5.73) 14.76 
AVYAvery Dennison Corp 2.54 8 per month 1.00  0.09  2.68 (1.98) 12.89 

Other Forecasting Options for Huntington Ingalls

For every potential investor in Huntington, whether a beginner or expert, Huntington Ingalls' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Huntington Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Huntington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Huntington Ingalls' price trends.

Huntington Ingalls Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Huntington Ingalls stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Huntington Ingalls could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Huntington Ingalls by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Huntington Ingalls Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Huntington Ingalls stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Huntington Ingalls shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Huntington Ingalls stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Huntington Ingalls Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Huntington Ingalls Risk Indicators

The analysis of Huntington Ingalls' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Huntington Ingalls' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting huntington stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Huntington Ingalls

The number of cover stories for Huntington Ingalls depends on current market conditions and Huntington Ingalls' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Huntington Ingalls is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Huntington Ingalls' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Huntington Ingalls Short Properties

Huntington Ingalls' future price predictability will typically decrease when Huntington Ingalls' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Huntington Ingalls Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Huntington Ingalls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huntington Ingalls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments831 M
When determining whether Huntington Ingalls offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Huntington Ingalls' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Huntington Ingalls Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Huntington Ingalls Industries Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Huntington Ingalls to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntington Ingalls. If investors know Huntington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Huntington Ingalls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Huntington Ingalls is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Huntington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Huntington Ingalls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Huntington Ingalls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Huntington Ingalls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Huntington Ingalls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntington Ingalls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Huntington Ingalls is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntington Ingalls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.