Wesco International Stock Price Prediction

WCC Stock  USD 266.86  14.74  5.85%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of WESCO International's share price is approaching 39. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling WESCO International, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of WESCO International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with WESCO International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using WESCO International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WESCO International from the perspective of WESCO International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in WESCO International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying WESCO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

WESCO International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 252.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out WESCO International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade WESCO Stock refer to our How to Trade WESCO Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WESCO International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
226.91272.50275.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
241.04243.66246.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
242.57249.63256.68
Details

WESCO International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of WESCO International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WESCO International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WESCO International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

WESCO International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting WESCO International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WESCO International's historical news coverage. WESCO International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 249.76 and 255.00, respectively. We have considered WESCO International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
266.86
249.76
Downside
252.38
After-hype Price
255.00
Upside
WESCO International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WESCO International is based on 3 months time horizon.

WESCO International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WESCO International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WESCO International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WESCO International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
2.69
 0.00  
  0.12 
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
266.86
252.38
0.10 
0.00  
Notes

WESCO International Hype Timeline

On the 5th of January WESCO International is traded for 266.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.12. WESCO is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 252.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on WESCO International is about 864.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 266.98. The company reported the last year's revenue of 21.82 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 719.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.85 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out WESCO International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade WESCO Stock refer to our How to Trade WESCO Stock guide.

WESCO International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to WESCO International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WESCO International's future price movements. Getting to know how WESCO International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WESCO International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WSOWatsco Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.56 (3.60) 10.61 
IEXIDEX Corporation(0.50)14 per month 0.86  0.06  2.20 (1.76) 6.09 
NDSNNordson 1.74 8 per month 0.90  0.04  1.62 (1.45) 4.24 
CNMCore Main 0.00 0 per month 1.69  0.04  3.71 (2.83) 10.00 
BLDRBuilders FirstSource 1.88 13 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.35 (3.40) 11.92 
AITApplied Industrial Technologies(1.84)10 per month 1.30 (0.03) 2.64 (2.04) 7.04 
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries 0.92 10 per month 1.25  0.15  3.93 (2.39) 10.50 
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.59  0  2.34 (2.84) 6.56 
GGGGraco Inc 0.60 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.85 (1.96) 5.31 

WESCO International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine WESCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WESCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze WESCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About WESCO International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of WESCO International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as WESCO International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of WESCO International based on analysis of WESCO International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to WESCO International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to WESCO International's related companies.

Story Coverage note for WESCO International

The number of cover stories for WESCO International depends on current market conditions and WESCO International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WESCO International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WESCO International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

WESCO International Short Properties

WESCO International's future price predictability will typically decrease when WESCO International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of WESCO International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential WESCO International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WESCO International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments702.6 M

Complementary Tools for WESCO Stock analysis

When running WESCO International's price analysis, check to measure WESCO International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WESCO International is operating at the current time. Most of WESCO International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WESCO International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WESCO International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WESCO International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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