Avery Dennison Corp Price Pattern Analysis

AVY Stock  USD 163.51  -2.02  -1.22%   
From the most recent analysis, Avery Dennison posts the RSI momentum reading reading of 39, between the standard 30 and 50 reference levels. The current RSI level remains above 30 and below 50 on standard interpretation bands.
Momentum
OversoldOverbought
39 · Weak
This forecast for Avery Dennison integrates publicly available signals including news flow and sentiment trends. Investor sentiment around Avery Dennison can cause the stock to overshoot or undershoot its intrinsic value estimate for extended periods. Core fundamentals behind Avery Dennison's prediction summary:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.3%
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.52
 EPS Estimate Current Year
10.02
 EPS Estimate Next Year
11.17
 Wall Street Target Price
200.3
How Avery Dennison Corp responds to headline-driven attention is a key input for near-term expectations. Headline volume and price changes from publicly available sources form the analytical basis. Options positioning and short interest for Avery Dennison indicate how participants view near-term risk. The interplay of options positioning and short interest creates a multi-dimensional sentiment reading.

Avery Dennison Current Signal Summary

Avery Dennison's momentum reading (RSI at 39) sits in bearish territory, while the expected daily return of -0.21% is negative and hype elasticity is negative. Daily volatility at 1.55% is contained, pointing to relatively stable near-term price action. Moderate headline density (7 events/month) reflects steady media coverage. Implied volatility at 0.36% indicates the options market expects relatively contained movement. Overall, momentum, expected return, and sentiment signals are aligned in a cautious direction for Avery Dennison.

Avery Dennison Short Interest Signal

 200 Day MA
174.66
 Short Percent
0.03
 Short Ratio
3.15
 Shares Short Prior Month
1.85 million
 50 Day MA
170.85

Avery Dennison Corp Sentiment and Price Pattern

Attention trends around Avery Dennison provide context for recent price moves. Sentiment trends and price data are paired for comparative review.
When sentiment and price diverge for Avery Dennison, it often signals a potential shift ahead. The sentiment dimension adds context that price and volume data alone cannot provide.
Avery Dennison Implied Volatility
    
  0.36  
Implied volatility for Avery Dennison summarizes expected price variability from options markets. This context can be compared with historical volatility and price movement.
Avery Dennison's sentiment profile maps news and public attention against recent price patterns. Public commentary and news volume help frame whether price behavior is headline-driven.
Avery Dennison Post-Event Predicted Price
    
  $ 163.22  
Attention analysis alongside forecasting, technical studies, and analyst estimates supports better-informed decisions. Earnings estimates and momentum data are integrated into the broader analytical view for the stock.

Rule 16 Implied Move for Current Options

The Rule 16 framework implies a daily move near 0.0225% for 2026-07-17 option pricing. The estimate is derived from implied volatility rather than price forecasting.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Avery Dennison's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Avery Dennison's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
155.74157.29179.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
167.27168.82170.37
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
182.27200.30222.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.442.472.48
Details
Avery Dennison is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Avery Dennison leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set.

Post-Sentiment Price Density Analysis

The probability distribution for Avery Dennison's predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes by estimated likelihood. Confidence intervals from Avery Dennison's distribution widen as the forecast horizon extends, reflecting compounding uncertainty.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimated Post-Sentiment Price Volatility

After analyzing Avery Dennison's historical price reactions to major news, we derive upside and downside boundaries for Avery Dennison. Avery Dennison's post-sentiment downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 161.67 and 164.77, respectively. This analysis complements technical and fundamental research by adding a news dimension to Avery Dennison's forecasting.
Current Value
163.51
161.67
163.22
Post-Sentiment Price
164.77
The after-hype framework applied to Avery Dennison Corp assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. The after-hype estimate is most informative when comparing sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Price Outlook Analysis

When Avery Dennison's price jumps with no clear reason, knowing the role of market sentiment matters a lot. Media coverage and analyst talk on Avery Dennison can create loops that drive prices apart from results. Momentum-driven price action in Avery Dennison can last longer than expected but needs real data to hold up. Identifying non-earnings drivers of Avery Dennison's price movement provides context for interpreting momentum signals.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilitySentiment SensitivityPeer SensitivityNews DensityPeer DensityNext Expected Sentiment
  0.21 
1.55
  0.29 
  0.23 
7 Events
7 Events
In 7 days
Latest Traded PriceExpected Post-Event PricePotential Return on Next EventPost-Sentiment Volatility
163.51
163.22
0.18 
110.71  
Notes

Market Sentiment Timeline

On the 10th of May Avery Dennison is traded for 163.51. Avery Dennison has a historical sentiment sensitivity of -0.29. Peers average a sentiment sensitivity of 0.23. is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 163.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on AVY price is about 110.71%. The price depreciation on the next news stands at -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.21%. The volatility of peer sentiment impact on Avery Dennison is about 143.25%, with the expected peer-implied price after the next announcement near 163.74. About 92.0% of AVY shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. AVY has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.92. Avery Dennison reported earnings per share (EPS) of 8.88. AVY had its last dividend issued on the 3rd of June 2026. The firm completed a 2-for-1 stock split on 23rd of December 1996. Over a 90-day investment horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in 7 days.
For Avery Dennison, Avery Dennison Basic Forecasting Models serve as an independent projection reference.

Related Market Sentiment Analysis

The comparative sentiment analysis table for Avery Dennison provides risk metrics for Avery Dennison's direct competitors. Value-at-risk and maximum drawdown for Avery Dennison's competitors provide context for assessing Avery Dennison's relative risk.
Sentiment
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TXTTextron-1.17 8 per month 1.64 0.02 2.34 -2.61 10.87
MASMasco 0.59 10 per month 2.11 0.02 4.47 -2.96 14.93
ALLEAllegion PLC 2.24 10 per month 0.00 -0.17 2.24 -2.79 11.61
LTMLATAM Airlines Group 0.61 8 per month 0.00 -0.08 5.07 -5.69 14.52
GGGGraco Inc-0.91 9 per month 0.00 -0.17 2.06 -2.51 7.39
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings 9.41 9 per month 0.00 -0.03 3.08 -2.65 9.66
WCCWESCO International-1.50 8 per month 2.51 0.1 5.96 -3.90 17.67
ATIAllegheny Technologies Incorporated-0.61 25 per month 2.72 0.13 6.19 -3.89 11.62
CNHCNH Industrial NV-2.66 11 per month 0.00 -0.03 5.13 -3.36 14.22
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries 4.82 7 per month 0.00 -0.12 3.53 -3.63 17.93

Avery Dennison Additional Predictive Modules

Forecasting Avery Dennison's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Time-series models tend to perform better when fed clean, stationary data with consistent periodicity.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment analysis for Avery Dennison evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Information shocks can change volatility expectations abruptly. Avery Dennison has a market cap of 12.51 billion, P/E of 19.02, ROE of 30.86%.

Avery Dennison Corp inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board