Horizon Technology Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| HTFB Stock | USD 24.97 0.00 0.00% |
Horizon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Horizon Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Horizon Technology Finance's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Horizon Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Horizon Technology's share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Horizon Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.253 |
Using Horizon Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Horizon Technology Finance from the perspective of Horizon Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Horizon Technology Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 24.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23. Horizon Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Technology to cross-verify your projections. Horizon Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Horizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Horizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Horizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Horizon Technology Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Horizon Technology Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 24.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Horizon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Horizon Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Horizon Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Horizon Technology | Horizon Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Horizon Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Horizon Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Horizon Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.64 and 25.30, respectively. We have considered Horizon Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Horizon Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Horizon Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0114 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0378 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.2277 |
Predictive Modules for Horizon Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Horizon Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Horizon Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Horizon Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Horizon Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Horizon Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Horizon Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Horizon Technology's historical news coverage. Horizon Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.32, respectively. We have considered Horizon Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Horizon Technology is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Horizon Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Horizon Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Horizon Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Horizon Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Horizon Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Horizon Technology Hype Timeline
Horizon Technology is currently traded for 24.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Horizon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Horizon Technology is about 267.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.97. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Technology to cross-verify your projections.Horizon Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Horizon Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Horizon Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Horizon Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Horizon Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFIC | MidCap Financial Investment | 0.08 | 5 per month | 1.39 | (0.04) | 2.18 | (1.47) | 6.99 | |
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.89 | 0.13 | 2.20 | (2.02) | 6.18 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | 0.17 | 5 per month | 1.02 | (0.07) | 1.88 | (1.93) | 4.85 | |
| TRIN | Trinity Capital | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.14 | 2.45 | (1.55) | 6.66 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | 0.13 | 5 per month | 1.01 | (0.05) | 1.66 | (1.69) | 5.28 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | (2.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.94 | (3.38) | 8.72 | |
| PX | P10 Inc | 0.56 | 9 per month | 2.32 | (0.02) | 4.03 | (3.41) | 9.58 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | (0.03) | 11 per month | 1.56 | 0.06 | 4.60 | (3.05) | 10.92 | |
| KBDC | Kayne Anderson BDC | 0.18 | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.04 | 2.84 | (2.35) | 6.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Horizon Technology
For every potential investor in Horizon, whether a beginner or expert, Horizon Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Horizon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Horizon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Horizon Technology's price trends.Horizon Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Horizon Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Horizon Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Horizon Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Horizon Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Horizon Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Horizon Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Horizon Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Horizon Technology Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Horizon Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Horizon Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Horizon Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting horizon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1393 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1731 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3136 | |||
| Variance | 0.0984 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4451 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Horizon Technology
The number of cover stories for Horizon Technology depends on current market conditions and Horizon Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Horizon Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Horizon Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Horizon Technology Short Properties
Horizon Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Horizon Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Horizon Technology Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Horizon Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horizon Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Technology to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Horizon Technology. If investors know Horizon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Horizon Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Dividend Share 1.29 | Earnings Share 1.224 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.253 |
The market value of Horizon Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horizon Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horizon Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Horizon Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horizon Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Horizon Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horizon Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.