ICU Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ICUI Stock | USD 158.54 3.41 2.20% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICU Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 160.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 179.81. ICU Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ICU Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ICU Medical's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7083 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.5586 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.0086 | Wall Street Target Price 180.8333 |
Using ICU Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICU Medical from the perspective of ICU Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ICU Medical using ICU Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ICU using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ICU Medical's stock price.
ICU Medical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ICU Medical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ICU. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ICU Medical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 133.1186 | Short Percent 0.0584 | Short Ratio 5.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 145.558 |
ICU Medical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ICU Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ICU. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ICU can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ICU Medical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
ICU Medical Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
ICU Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ICU Medical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ICU Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ICU Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when ICU Medical's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICU Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 160.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 179.81. ICU Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 157.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICU Medical to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ICU contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ICU Medical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ICU Medical trading at USD 158.54, that is roughly USD 0.0446 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ICU Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ICU Medical options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ICU Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ICU Medical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ICU Medical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ICU Medical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ICU Medical's open interest, investors have to compare it to ICU Medical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ICU Medical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ICU. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ICU Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICU using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ICU Medical Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the ICU Medical's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1991-12-31 | Previous Quarter 300 M | Current Value 299.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 148.6 M |
ICU Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICU Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 160.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95, mean absolute percentage error of 13.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 179.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ICU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ICU Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ICU Medical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ICU Medical | ICU Medical Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ICU Medical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ICU Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ICU Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 157.95 and 162.32, respectively. We have considered ICU Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ICU Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ICU Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7265 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.9477 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 179.8103 |
Predictive Modules for ICU Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICU Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICU Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICU Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICU Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICU Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICU Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICU Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICU Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICU Medical's historical news coverage. ICU Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 155.21 and 159.57, respectively. We have considered ICU Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICU Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICU Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICU Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICU Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICU Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICU Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.18 | 1.15 | 0.23 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
158.54 | 157.39 | 0.73 |
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ICU Medical Hype Timeline
ICU Medical is currently traded for 158.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. ICU is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 157.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 83.52%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on ICU Medical is about 410.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 158.31. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ICU Medical has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.32. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. ICU Medical had 3:2 split on the 18th of March 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICU Medical to cross-verify your projections.ICU Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICU Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICU Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how ICU Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICU Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARQT | Arcutis Biotherapeutics | 1.64 | 10 per month | 2.14 | 0.08 | 6.75 | (4.02) | 32.59 | |
| XRAY | Dentsply Sirona | 0.24 | 11 per month | 2.57 | 0 | 4.84 | (2.94) | 16.11 | |
| PBH | Prestige Brand Holdings | (0.19) | 10 per month | 1.05 | 0.03 | 2.37 | (2.13) | 5.84 | |
| HAE | Haemonetics | 1.17 | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.11 | 3.10 | (3.11) | 37.26 | |
| LIVN | LivaNova PLC | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.51 | 0.08 | 4.27 | (2.51) | 12.50 | |
| TVTX | Travere Therapeutics | 4.24 | 13 per month | 3.41 | 0.03 | 6.09 | (5.47) | 33.22 | |
| HTFL | Heartflow Common Stock | (0.19) | 8 per month | 4.69 | (0) | 7.29 | (7.99) | 20.72 | |
| PRGO | Perrigo Company PLC | (0.17) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.08 | (3.37) | 27.45 | |
| TARS | Tarsus Pharmaceuticals | (1.15) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.78 | (3.31) | 10.59 | |
| IRON | Disc Medicine | (10.96) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.33 | (4.35) | 16.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for ICU Medical
For every potential investor in ICU, whether a beginner or expert, ICU Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ICU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ICU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ICU Medical's price trends.ICU Medical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ICU Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ICU Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ICU Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ICU Medical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ICU Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ICU Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ICU Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ICU Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ICU Medical Risk Indicators
The analysis of ICU Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ICU Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting icu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Variance | 4.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ICU Medical
The number of cover stories for ICU Medical depends on current market conditions and ICU Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICU Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICU Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ICU Medical Short Properties
ICU Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when ICU Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICU Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICU Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICU Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 308.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICU Medical to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in ICU Stock please use our How to Invest in ICU Medical guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICU Medical. If investors know ICU will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ICU Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Earnings Share (0.32) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets |
The market value of ICU Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ICU that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ICU Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ICU Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ICU Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ICU Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICU Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICU Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICU Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.