ING Group Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ING Stock  USD 15.64  0.05  0.32%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ING Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 15.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.17. ING Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ING Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At this time, ING Group's Payables Turnover is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The ING Group's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 22.19, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to (0.0001). . The ING Group's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 4.6 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 3.3 B.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ING Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ING Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ING Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 15.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ING Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ING Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ING Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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ING Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ING Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ING Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.57 and 17.24, respectively. We have considered ING Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.64
15.91
Expected Value
17.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ING Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ING Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3402
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3471
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors21.1712
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ING Group NV historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ING Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ING Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2615.5916.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0816.9818.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.0016.0017.00
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.0918.7820.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ING Group

For every potential investor in ING, whether a beginner or expert, ING Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ING Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ING. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ING Group's price trends.

ING Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ING Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ING Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ING Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ING Group NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ING Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ING Group's current price.

ING Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ING Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ING Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ING Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ING Group NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ING Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of ING Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ING Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether ING Group NV is a strong investment it is important to analyze ING Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ING Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ING Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ING Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ING Group. If investors know ING will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ING Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.054
Dividend Share
1.106
Earnings Share
2.19
Revenue Per Share
5.223
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of ING Group NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ING that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ING Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ING Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ING Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ING Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ING Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ING Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ING Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.