Ingersoll Rand Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IR Stock | USD 87.21 0.34 0.39% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ingersoll Rand on the next trading day is expected to be 87.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.91. Ingersoll Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Ingersoll Rand's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Ingersoll Rand's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Ingersoll Rand fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Ingersoll Rand's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.13 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9872 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2808 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.5564 | Wall Street Target Price 89.77 |
Using Ingersoll Rand hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ingersoll Rand from the perspective of Ingersoll Rand response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ingersoll Rand using Ingersoll Rand's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ingersoll using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ingersoll Rand's stock price.
Ingersoll Rand Short Interest
An investor who is long Ingersoll Rand may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ingersoll Rand and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ingersoll Rand with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 80.267 | Short Percent 0.0613 | Short Ratio 8.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.4 M | 50 Day MA 80.4668 |
Ingersoll Rand Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ingersoll Rand's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ingersoll. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ingersoll can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ingersoll Rand. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ingersoll Rand Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Ingersoll Rand's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ingersoll Rand stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ingersoll Rand's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ingersoll Rand stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ingersoll Rand's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ingersoll Rand on the next trading day is expected to be 87.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.91. Ingersoll Rand after-hype prediction price | USD 87.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ingersoll contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ingersoll Rand will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Ingersoll Rand trading at USD 87.21, that is roughly USD 0.0229 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ingersoll Rand's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ingersoll Rand options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ingersoll Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ingersoll Rand's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ingersoll Rand's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ingersoll Rand stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ingersoll Rand's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ingersoll Rand's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ingersoll Rand is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ingersoll. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ingersoll Rand Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ingersoll price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ingersoll using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ingersoll charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ingersoll Rand Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ingersoll Rand on the next trading day is expected to be 87.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 2.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ingersoll Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ingersoll Rand's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ingersoll Rand Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ingersoll Rand | Ingersoll Rand Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ingersoll Rand Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ingersoll Rand's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ingersoll Rand's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.45 and 89.14, respectively. We have considered Ingersoll Rand's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ingersoll Rand stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ingersoll Rand stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0461 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1385 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1152 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.9102 |
Predictive Modules for Ingersoll Rand
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ingersoll Rand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ingersoll Rand After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ingersoll Rand at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ingersoll Rand or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ingersoll Rand, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ingersoll Rand Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ingersoll Rand's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ingersoll Rand's historical news coverage. Ingersoll Rand's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.83 and 89.49, respectively. We have considered Ingersoll Rand's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ingersoll Rand is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ingersoll Rand is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ingersoll Rand Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ingersoll Rand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ingersoll Rand backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ingersoll Rand, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.84 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
87.21 | 87.66 | 0.13 |
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Ingersoll Rand Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Ingersoll Rand is listed for 87.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Ingersoll is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 87.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Ingersoll Rand is about 317.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.30. The company generated the yearly revenue of 7.24 B. Reported Net Income was 846.3 M with gross profit of 3.26 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ingersoll Rand to cross-verify your projections.Ingersoll Rand Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ingersoll Rand's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ingersoll Rand's future price movements. Getting to know how Ingersoll Rand's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ingersoll Rand may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 12.45 | 6 per month | 0.75 | 0.15 | 2.68 | (1.79) | 6.54 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | (0.24) | 3 per month | 0.92 | 0.16 | 2.55 | (2.33) | 34.18 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | 1.58 | 9 per month | 0.80 | 0.15 | 2.27 | (1.74) | 9.29 | |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | 1.50 | 25 per month | 1.16 | (0.03) | 2.56 | (1.83) | 6.31 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | 1.63 | 7 per month | 1.18 | 0.03 | 2.46 | (1.90) | 6.74 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | 0.14 | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.02 | 1.90 | (2.11) | 17.49 | |
| AME | Ametek Inc | (0.59) | 2 per month | 0.56 | 0.14 | 2.39 | (1.34) | 9.36 | |
| DOV | Dover | (2.43) | 21 per month | 0.81 | 0.14 | 2.96 | (1.82) | 5.92 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | (0.78) | 4 per month | 1.44 | (0.02) | 2.40 | (2.82) | 6.43 | |
| ETN | Eaton PLC | (3.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.12 | (4.15) | 8.67 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.06 | 2.34 | (2.84) | 8.01 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | (0.24) | 6 per month | 1.34 | (0) | 2.24 | (2.23) | 7.54 | |
| XYL | Xylem Inc | (2.43) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.68 | (1.74) | 8.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ingersoll Rand
For every potential investor in Ingersoll, whether a beginner or expert, Ingersoll Rand's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ingersoll Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ingersoll. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ingersoll Rand's price trends.Ingersoll Rand Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ingersoll Rand stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ingersoll Rand could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ingersoll Rand by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ingersoll Rand Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ingersoll Rand stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ingersoll Rand shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ingersoll Rand stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ingersoll Rand entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 29171.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 87.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 87.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.34) |
Ingersoll Rand Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ingersoll Rand's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ingersoll Rand's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ingersoll stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ingersoll Rand
The number of cover stories for Ingersoll Rand depends on current market conditions and Ingersoll Rand's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ingersoll Rand is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ingersoll Rand's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ingersoll Rand Short Properties
Ingersoll Rand's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ingersoll Rand's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ingersoll Rand often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ingersoll Rand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ingersoll Rand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 407.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Additional Tools for Ingersoll Stock Analysis
When running Ingersoll Rand's price analysis, check to measure Ingersoll Rand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ingersoll Rand is operating at the current time. Most of Ingersoll Rand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ingersoll Rand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ingersoll Rand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ingersoll Rand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.