Kyndryl Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| KD Stock | USD 24.45 0.23 0.95% |
Kyndryl Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kyndryl Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Kyndryl Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kyndryl Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Kyndryl Holdings' share price is approaching 38. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kyndryl Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.82 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.66 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3224 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4522 | Wall Street Target Price 37.6 |
Using Kyndryl Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kyndryl Holdings from the perspective of Kyndryl Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kyndryl Holdings using Kyndryl Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kyndryl using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kyndryl Holdings' stock price.
Kyndryl Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kyndryl Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kyndryl. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kyndryl Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 32.0736 | Short Percent 0.1202 | Short Ratio 10.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.9 M | 50 Day MA 26.0694 |
Kyndryl Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kyndryl Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.95.Kyndryl Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kyndryl Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kyndryl. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kyndryl can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kyndryl Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kyndryl Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kyndryl Holdings.
Kyndryl Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Kyndryl Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kyndryl Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kyndryl Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kyndryl Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kyndryl Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kyndryl Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.95. Kyndryl Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 24.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kyndryl Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kyndryl contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kyndryl Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Kyndryl Holdings trading at USD 24.45, that is roughly USD 0.008558 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kyndryl Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kyndryl Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Kyndryl Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kyndryl Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kyndryl Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kyndryl Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kyndryl Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Kyndryl Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kyndryl Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kyndryl. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kyndryl Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kyndryl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kyndryl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kyndryl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kyndryl Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Kyndryl Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 1.5 B | Current Value 1.8 B | Quarterly Volatility 638.7 M |
Kyndryl Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kyndryl Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kyndryl Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kyndryl Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kyndryl Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kyndryl Holdings | Kyndryl Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kyndryl Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kyndryl Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kyndryl Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.80 and 26.11, respectively. We have considered Kyndryl Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kyndryl Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kyndryl Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1709 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5315 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0204 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.9536 |
Predictive Modules for Kyndryl Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kyndryl Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kyndryl Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kyndryl Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kyndryl Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kyndryl Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kyndryl Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kyndryl Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kyndryl Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kyndryl Holdings' historical news coverage. Kyndryl Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.31 and 26.59, respectively. We have considered Kyndryl Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kyndryl Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kyndryl Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kyndryl Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kyndryl Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kyndryl Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kyndryl Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.15 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.45 | 24.45 | 0.00 |
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Kyndryl Holdings Hype Timeline
As of January 27, 2026 Kyndryl Holdings is listed for 24.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kyndryl is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kyndryl Holdings is about 23888.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.45. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Kyndryl Holdings was now reported as 5.35. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kyndryl Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Kyndryl Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kyndryl Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kyndryl Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Kyndryl Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kyndryl Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXLS | ExlService Holdings | (0.05) | 8 per month | 1.66 | (0.02) | 1.94 | (2.64) | 7.70 | |
| G | Genpact Limited | 5.20 | 6 per month | 1.11 | 0.07 | 2.16 | (2.53) | 18.47 | |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories | 0.69 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.28 | (1.80) | 4.81 | |
| WAY | Waystar Holding Corp | (0.24) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.29 | (4.21) | 15.21 | |
| GDS | GDS Holdings | (0.10) | 6 per month | 2.57 | 0.13 | 8.38 | (4.92) | 16.17 | |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding | (2.84) | 31 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.53 | (3.62) | 9.36 | |
| CRUS | Cirrus Logic | 0.41 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.83 | (2.75) | 9.85 | |
| EPAM | EPAM Systems | 0.22 | 12 per month | 1.28 | 0.24 | 4.35 | (2.78) | 9.27 | |
| OLED | Universal Display | (3.18) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.60 | (3.46) | 11.06 | |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments | (0.20) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.21 | (3.68) | 11.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kyndryl Holdings
For every potential investor in Kyndryl, whether a beginner or expert, Kyndryl Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kyndryl Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kyndryl. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kyndryl Holdings' price trends.Kyndryl Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kyndryl Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kyndryl Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kyndryl Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kyndryl Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kyndryl Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kyndryl Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kyndryl Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kyndryl Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kyndryl Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kyndryl Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kyndryl Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kyndryl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Variance | 4.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kyndryl Holdings
The number of cover stories for Kyndryl Holdings depends on current market conditions and Kyndryl Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kyndryl Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kyndryl Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kyndryl Holdings Short Properties
Kyndryl Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kyndryl Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kyndryl Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kyndryl Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kyndryl Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 239.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kyndryl Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Kyndryl Stock refer to our How to Trade Kyndryl Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kyndryl Holdings. If investors know Kyndryl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kyndryl Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.82 | Earnings Share 1.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Kyndryl Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kyndryl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kyndryl Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kyndryl Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kyndryl Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kyndryl Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kyndryl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kyndryl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kyndryl Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.