Kimball Electronics Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KE Stock | USD 24.88 1.01 4.23% |
Kimball Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kimball Electronics stock prices and determine the direction of Kimball Electronics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kimball Electronics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Kimball Electronics' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.906 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3325 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3775 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.48 | Wall Street Target Price 33 |
Using Kimball Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kimball Electronics from the perspective of Kimball Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kimball Electronics using Kimball Electronics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kimball using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kimball Electronics' stock price.
Kimball Electronics Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kimball Electronics' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kimball. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kimball Electronics stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 25.0844 | Short Percent 0.0481 | Short Ratio 7.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 29.2248 |
Kimball Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kimball Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.40.Kimball Electronics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kimball Electronics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kimball. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kimball can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kimball Electronics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kimball Electronics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kimball Electronics.
Kimball Electronics Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
Kimball Electronics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kimball Electronics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kimball Electronics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kimball Electronics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kimball Electronics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kimball Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.40. Kimball Electronics after-hype prediction price | USD 23.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimball Electronics to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kimball contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kimball Electronics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Kimball Electronics trading at USD 24.88, that is roughly USD 0.0132 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kimball Electronics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kimball Electronics options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Kimball Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kimball Electronics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kimball Electronics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kimball Electronics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kimball Electronics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Kimball Electronics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kimball Electronics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kimball. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kimball Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kimball price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kimball using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kimball charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kimball Electronics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kimball Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 1.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kimball Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kimball Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kimball Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kimball Electronics | Kimball Electronics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kimball Electronics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kimball Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kimball Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.62 and 28.73, respectively. We have considered Kimball Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kimball Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kimball Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5563 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0537 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6734 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0244 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.4042 |
Predictive Modules for Kimball Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimball Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kimball Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kimball Electronics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kimball Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kimball Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kimball Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kimball Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kimball Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kimball Electronics' historical news coverage. Kimball Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.83 and 27.93, respectively. We have considered Kimball Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kimball Electronics is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kimball Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kimball Electronics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kimball Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kimball Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kimball Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 4.05 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.88 | 23.88 | 0.04 |
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Kimball Electronics Hype Timeline
As of February 13, 2026 Kimball Electronics is listed for 24.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Kimball is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Kimball Electronics is about 667.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.96. The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.49 B. Reported Net Income was 16.98 M with gross profit of 114.08 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimball Electronics to cross-verify your projections.Kimball Electronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kimball Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kimball Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Kimball Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kimball Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LTBR | Lightbridge Corp | 1.55 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.58 | (10.14) | 27.21 | |
| TE | T1 Energy | 0.85 | 9 per month | 6.35 | 0.12 | 15.44 | (9.34) | 33.07 | |
| GNK | Genco Shipping Trading | 0.23 | 11 per month | 1.47 | 0.16 | 3.90 | (2.74) | 13.08 | |
| TRNS | Transcat | 1.82 | 8 per month | 1.85 | 0.14 | 8.42 | (3.16) | 13.60 | |
| NAT | Nordic American Tankers | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.17 | 3.33 | (2.03) | 10.94 | |
| GHM | Graham | 2.13 | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.12 | 5.23 | (4.97) | 14.76 | |
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.87 | 0.01 | 5.22 | (4.65) | 18.67 | |
| BWMN | Bowman Consulting Group | 0.11 | 10 per month | 2.57 | (0.01) | 3.35 | (3.82) | 12.47 | |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries | 0.70 | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.09 | 2.98 | (3.32) | 9.58 | |
| HY | Hyster Yale Materials Handling | (1.42) | 10 per month | 2.64 | 0.05 | 5.10 | (4.77) | 20.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kimball Electronics
For every potential investor in Kimball, whether a beginner or expert, Kimball Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kimball Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kimball. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kimball Electronics' price trends.Kimball Electronics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kimball Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kimball Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kimball Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kimball Electronics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kimball Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kimball Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kimball Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kimball Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kimball Electronics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kimball Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kimball Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kimball stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.01 | |||
| Variance | 16.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kimball Electronics
The number of cover stories for Kimball Electronics depends on current market conditions and Kimball Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kimball Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kimball Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kimball Electronics Short Properties
Kimball Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kimball Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kimball Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kimball Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kimball Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 88.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimball Electronics to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Kimball Stock refer to our How to Trade Kimball Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Kimball diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kimball Electronics. Expected growth trajectory for Kimball significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Kimball Electronics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.906 | Earnings Share 0.97 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.15 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Kimball Electronics using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Kimball Electronics' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Kimball Electronics' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kimball Electronics' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kimball Electronics represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Kimball Electronics' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.