Kimberly Clark Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| KMB Stock | USD 102.23 0.04 0.04% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kimberly Clark on the next trading day is expected to be 97.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.48. Kimberly Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kimberly Clark stock prices and determine the direction of Kimberly Clark's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kimberly Clark's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Kimberly Clark's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8349 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.4789 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.6488 | Wall Street Target Price 122.0667 |
Using Kimberly Clark hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kimberly Clark from the perspective of Kimberly Clark response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kimberly Clark using Kimberly Clark's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kimberly using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kimberly Clark's stock price.
Kimberly Clark Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kimberly Clark's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kimberly. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kimberly Clark stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 122.5057 | Short Percent 0.0903 | Short Ratio 5.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 23.2 M | 50 Day MA 102.3262 |
Kimberly Clark Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kimberly Clark's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kimberly. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kimberly can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kimberly Clark. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Kimberly Clark Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Kimberly Clark's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kimberly Clark stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kimberly Clark's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kimberly Clark stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kimberly Clark's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kimberly Clark on the next trading day is expected to be 97.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.48. Kimberly Clark after-hype prediction price | USD 102.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimberly Clark to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kimberly contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kimberly Clark will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kimberly Clark trading at USD 102.23, that is roughly USD 0.0294 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kimberly Clark's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kimberly Clark options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Kimberly Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kimberly Clark's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kimberly Clark's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kimberly Clark stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kimberly Clark's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kimberly Clark's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kimberly Clark is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kimberly. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kimberly Clark Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kimberly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kimberly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kimberly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kimberly Clark Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kimberly Clark on the next trading day is expected to be 97.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.78, mean absolute percentage error of 16.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kimberly Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kimberly Clark's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kimberly Clark Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kimberly Clark | Kimberly Clark Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kimberly Clark Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kimberly Clark's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kimberly Clark's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 95.75 and 100.19, respectively. We have considered Kimberly Clark's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kimberly Clark stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kimberly Clark stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.7548 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.782 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 172.4841 |
Predictive Modules for Kimberly Clark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimberly Clark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kimberly Clark After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kimberly Clark at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kimberly Clark or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kimberly Clark, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kimberly Clark Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kimberly Clark's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kimberly Clark's historical news coverage. Kimberly Clark's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.06 and 104.50, respectively. We have considered Kimberly Clark's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kimberly Clark is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kimberly Clark is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kimberly Clark Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kimberly Clark is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kimberly Clark backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kimberly Clark, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.22 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
102.23 | 102.28 | 0.05 |
|
Kimberly Clark Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Kimberly Clark is traded for 102.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Kimberly is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 102.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Kimberly Clark is about 333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.38. The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.06 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.58 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.03 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimberly Clark to cross-verify your projections.Kimberly Clark Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kimberly Clark's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kimberly Clark's future price movements. Getting to know how Kimberly Clark's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kimberly Clark may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.11 | 2.27 | (2.09) | 15.22 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | 1.04 | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.07 | 3.89 | (3.02) | 8.23 | |
| SYY | Sysco | 1.66 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.33 | (2.10) | 6.00 | |
| HSY | Hershey Co | 2.46 | 8 per month | 1.46 | (0.01) | 2.37 | (2.35) | 6.22 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | 0.13 | 9 per month | 1.57 | (0.03) | 1.97 | (1.91) | 13.48 | |
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.10 | 0.20 | 3.04 | (2.09) | 10.33 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 0.98 | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.01 | 2.33 | (1.92) | 10.66 | |
| JBS | JBS NV | (0.08) | 11 per month | 1.49 | 0.12 | 2.58 | (2.78) | 8.67 | |
| ADM | Archer Daniels Midland | 0.17 | 11 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 2.94 | (3.26) | 7.68 | |
| K | Kellanova | 0.24 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.54 | (0.48) | 5.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kimberly Clark
For every potential investor in Kimberly, whether a beginner or expert, Kimberly Clark's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kimberly Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kimberly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kimberly Clark's price trends.Kimberly Clark Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kimberly Clark stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kimberly Clark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kimberly Clark by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kimberly Clark Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kimberly Clark stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kimberly Clark shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kimberly Clark stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kimberly Clark entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 42031.33 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0381 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 101.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 102.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.27 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
Kimberly Clark Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kimberly Clark's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kimberly Clark's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kimberly stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Variance | 4.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kimberly Clark
The number of cover stories for Kimberly Clark depends on current market conditions and Kimberly Clark's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kimberly Clark is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kimberly Clark's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Kimberly Clark Short Properties
Kimberly Clark's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kimberly Clark's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kimberly Clark often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kimberly Clark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kimberly Clark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 337 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimberly Clark to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Kimberly Stock refer to our How to Trade Kimberly Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kimberly Clark. If investors know Kimberly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kimberly Clark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Dividend Share 5 | Earnings Share 5.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 |
The market value of Kimberly Clark is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kimberly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kimberly Clark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kimberly Clark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kimberly Clark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kimberly Clark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kimberly Clark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kimberly Clark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kimberly Clark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.