Kontoor Brands Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| KTB Stock | USD 67.62 0.23 0.34% |
Kontoor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kontoor Brands stock prices and determine the direction of Kontoor Brands's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kontoor Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Kontoor Brands' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6284 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.4953 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9566 | Wall Street Target Price 84.5556 |
Using Kontoor Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kontoor Brands from the perspective of Kontoor Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kontoor Brands using Kontoor Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kontoor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kontoor Brands' stock price.
Kontoor Brands Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kontoor Brands' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kontoor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kontoor Brands stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 69.9861 | Short Percent 0.1032 | Short Ratio 5.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.5 M | 50 Day MA 64.279 |
Kontoor Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kontoor Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 67.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.59.Kontoor Brands Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kontoor Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kontoor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kontoor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kontoor Brands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kontoor Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kontoor Brands.
Kontoor Brands Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
Kontoor Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kontoor Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kontoor Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kontoor Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kontoor Brands' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kontoor Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 67.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.59. Kontoor Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 67.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kontoor Brands to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kontoor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kontoor Brands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Kontoor Brands trading at USD 67.62, that is roughly USD 0.0334 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kontoor Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kontoor Brands options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Kontoor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kontoor Brands' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kontoor Brands' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kontoor Brands stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kontoor Brands' open interest, investors have to compare it to Kontoor Brands' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kontoor Brands is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kontoor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kontoor Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kontoor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kontoor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kontoor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kontoor Brands Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kontoor Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 67.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kontoor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kontoor Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kontoor Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kontoor Brands | Kontoor Brands Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kontoor Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kontoor Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kontoor Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.07 and 69.94, respectively. We have considered Kontoor Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kontoor Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kontoor Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5236 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0658 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2642 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0194 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.59 |
Predictive Modules for Kontoor Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kontoor Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kontoor Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kontoor Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kontoor Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kontoor Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kontoor Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kontoor Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kontoor Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kontoor Brands' historical news coverage. Kontoor Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.98 and 69.84, respectively. We have considered Kontoor Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kontoor Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kontoor Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kontoor Brands Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kontoor Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kontoor Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kontoor Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.43 | 0.02 | 0.42 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
67.62 | 67.41 | 0.03 |
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Kontoor Brands Hype Timeline
On the 12th of February 2026 Kontoor Brands is traded for 67.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.42. Kontoor is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 67.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Kontoor Brands is about 40.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.20. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.61 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 245.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.31 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kontoor Brands to cross-verify your projections.Kontoor Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kontoor Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kontoor Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Kontoor Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kontoor Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PVH | PVH Corp | (3.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.58 | (4.38) | 17.23 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | (0.05) | 9 per month | 1.22 | (0.03) | 3.17 | (2.04) | 6.48 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.45 | 7 per month | 0.82 | 0.16 | 2.56 | (1.89) | 10.05 | |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises A | 0.10 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.31 | 4.15 | (2.20) | 10.82 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | (1.24) | 15 per month | 1.27 | 0.09 | 3.13 | (2.43) | 8.90 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | (1.24) | 10 per month | 1.86 | 0.02 | 4.35 | (3.41) | 9.48 | |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries | (56.58) | 8 per month | 4.47 | (0.02) | 4.45 | (3.02) | 25.69 | |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear | 2.74 | 7 per month | 1.86 | 0.09 | 3.74 | (3.25) | 21.48 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.60) | 13 per month | 0.74 | 0.20 | 3.18 | (1.55) | 6.88 | |
| KBH | KB Home | 0.55 | 7 per month | 1.90 | 0.01 | 4.51 | (2.47) | 15.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kontoor Brands
For every potential investor in Kontoor, whether a beginner or expert, Kontoor Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kontoor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kontoor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kontoor Brands' price trends.Kontoor Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kontoor Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kontoor Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kontoor Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kontoor Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kontoor Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kontoor Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kontoor Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kontoor Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kontoor Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kontoor Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kontoor Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kontoor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kontoor Brands
The number of cover stories for Kontoor Brands depends on current market conditions and Kontoor Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kontoor Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kontoor Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kontoor Brands Short Properties
Kontoor Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kontoor Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kontoor Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kontoor Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kontoor Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 334.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kontoor Brands to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Kontoor Stock refer to our How to Trade Kontoor Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kontoor Brands. Expected growth trajectory for Kontoor significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Kontoor Brands assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Dividend Share 2.08 | Earnings Share 3.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.273 |
The market value of Kontoor Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kontoor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kontoor Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kontoor Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kontoor Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kontoor Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kontoor Brands' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kontoor Brands represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Kontoor Brands' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.