LendingClub Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LC Stock | USD 19.57 1.24 5.96% |
LendingClub Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LendingClub Corp stock prices and determine the direction of LendingClub Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LendingClub Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of LendingClub Corp's share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LendingClub Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.868 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2783 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.143 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5521 | Wall Street Target Price 24.2 |
Using LendingClub Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LendingClub Corp from the perspective of LendingClub Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LendingClub Corp using LendingClub Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LendingClub using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LendingClub Corp's stock price.
LendingClub Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in LendingClub Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LendingClub. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LendingClub Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.1263 | Short Percent 0.0371 | Short Ratio 2.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.8 M | 50 Day MA 19.1232 |
LendingClub Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LendingClub Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 20.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.53.LendingClub Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LendingClub Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LendingClub. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LendingClub can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LendingClub Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LendingClub Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LendingClub Corp.
LendingClub Corp Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
LendingClub Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LendingClub Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LendingClub Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LendingClub Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when LendingClub Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LendingClub Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 20.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.53. LendingClub Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 19.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LendingClub contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LendingClub Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With LendingClub Corp trading at USD 19.57, that is roughly USD 0.00844 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LendingClub Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring LendingClub Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 LendingClub Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LendingClub Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LendingClub Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LendingClub Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LendingClub Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to LendingClub Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LendingClub Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LendingClub. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
LendingClub Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LendingClub price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LendingClub using various technical indicators. When you analyze LendingClub charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LendingClub Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the LendingClub Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2008-12-31 | Previous Quarter 10.6 M | Current Value 11.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 6.4 T |
LendingClub Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LendingClub Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 20.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LendingClub Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LendingClub Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LendingClub Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LendingClub Corp | LendingClub Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
LendingClub Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LendingClub Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LendingClub Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.35 and 23.42, respectively. We have considered LendingClub Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LendingClub Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LendingClub Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5498 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5989 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0324 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.5347 |
Predictive Modules for LendingClub Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LendingClub Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LendingClub Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LendingClub Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LendingClub Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LendingClub Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LendingClub Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LendingClub Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LendingClub Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LendingClub Corp's historical news coverage. LendingClub Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.51 and 22.63, respectively. We have considered LendingClub Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LendingClub Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LendingClub Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
LendingClub Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LendingClub Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LendingClub Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LendingClub Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 3.04 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.57 | 19.57 | 0.00 |
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LendingClub Corp Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 LendingClub Corp is listed for 19.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. LendingClub is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on LendingClub Corp is about 593.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.69. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.64. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LendingClub Corp last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2019. The entity had 1:5 split on the 8th of July 2019. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LendingClub Corp to cross-verify your projections.LendingClub Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LendingClub Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LendingClub Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how LendingClub Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LendingClub Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEZL | Sezzle Inc | 3.78 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.39 | (6.55) | 20.23 | |
| AGM | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | (1.25) | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0 | 2.86 | (2.85) | 9.39 | |
| FBNC | First Bancorp | (0.65) | 9 per month | 1.30 | 0.12 | 3.02 | (1.68) | 9.98 | |
| BUSE | First Busey Corp | 0.62 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.03 | 2.71 | (2.63) | 7.86 | |
| STC | Stewart Information Services | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.21 | (2.65) | 8.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for LendingClub Corp
For every potential investor in LendingClub, whether a beginner or expert, LendingClub Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LendingClub Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LendingClub. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LendingClub Corp's price trends.LendingClub Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LendingClub Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LendingClub Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LendingClub Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LendingClub Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LendingClub Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LendingClub Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LendingClub Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LendingClub Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.57 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.62) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.24) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.25 |
LendingClub Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of LendingClub Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LendingClub Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lendingclub stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Variance | 9.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LendingClub Corp
The number of cover stories for LendingClub Corp depends on current market conditions and LendingClub Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LendingClub Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LendingClub Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LendingClub Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade LendingClub Stock refer to our How to Trade LendingClub Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Consumer Finance sector continue expanding? Could LendingClub diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LendingClub Corp. Expected growth trajectory for LendingClub significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every LendingClub Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.868 | Earnings Share 0.89 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.158 | Return On Assets |
Understanding LendingClub Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects LendingClub's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what LendingClub Corp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push LendingClub Corp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that LendingClub Corp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LendingClub Corp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, LendingClub Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.