Loandepot Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| LDI Stock | USD 2.05 0.09 4.21% |
Loandepot Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Loandepot's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Loandepot's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.0008) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.182 | Wall Street Target Price 2.3833 |
Using Loandepot hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Loandepot from the perspective of Loandepot response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Loandepot using Loandepot's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Loandepot using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Loandepot's stock price.
Loandepot Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Loandepot's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Loandepot. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Loandepot stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.213 | Short Percent 0.1256 | Short Ratio 2.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.7 M | 50 Day MA 2.5092 |
Loandepot Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loandepot on the next trading day is expected to be 2.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.87.Loandepot Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Loandepot's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Loandepot. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Loandepot can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Loandepot. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Loandepot's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Loandepot.
Loandepot Implied Volatility | 2.19 |
Loandepot's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Loandepot stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Loandepot's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Loandepot stock will not fluctuate a lot when Loandepot's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loandepot on the next trading day is expected to be 2.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.87.
Loandepot after-hype prediction price | USD 2.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Loandepot contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Loandepot will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.14% per day over the life of the 2026-03-27 option contract. With Loandepot trading at USD 2.05, that is roughly USD 0.002806 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Loandepot's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Loandepot options at the current volatility level of 2.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-27 Loandepot Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Loandepot's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Loandepot's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Loandepot stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Loandepot's open interest, investors have to compare it to Loandepot's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Loandepot is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Loandepot. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Loandepot Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Loandepot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Loandepot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Loandepot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Loandepot Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loandepot on the next trading day is expected to be 2.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Loandepot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Loandepot's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Loandepot Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Loandepot | Loandepot Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Loandepot Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Loandepot's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Loandepot's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.73, respectively. We have considered Loandepot's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Loandepot stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Loandepot stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0268 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1164 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0445 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.8689 |
Predictive Modules for Loandepot
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loandepot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loandepot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Loandepot After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Loandepot at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Loandepot or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Loandepot, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Loandepot Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Loandepot's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Loandepot's historical news coverage. Loandepot's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 7.85, respectively. We have considered Loandepot's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Loandepot is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Loandepot is based on 3 months time horizon.
Loandepot Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Loandepot is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Loandepot backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Loandepot, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 5.70 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.05 | 2.11 | 0.00 |
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Loandepot Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Loandepot is traded for 2.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Loandepot is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Loandepot is about 4222.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.01. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.89. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Loandepot has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.05. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.36. The firm last dividend was issued on the 1st of April 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loandepot to cross-verify your projections.Loandepot Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Loandepot's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Loandepot's future price movements. Getting to know how Loandepot's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Loandepot may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.05) | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.20 | 4.02 | (2.57) | 14.34 | |
| BETR | Better Home Finance | 3.79 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 10.83 | (10.96) | 29.21 | |
| GEMI | Gemini Space Station | (0.41) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.34 | (10.18) | 44.06 | |
| JCAP | Jefferson Capital Common | (0.10) | 9 per month | 2.37 | 0.07 | 4.12 | (2.98) | 17.08 | |
| WRLD | World Acceptance | (4.58) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.13 | (5.39) | 23.16 | |
| SAFT | Safety Insurance Group | 0.55 | 6 per month | 0.98 | 0.17 | 2.22 | (1.95) | 6.16 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.32 | (1.98) | 7.07 | |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.91 | 0.18 | 2.20 | (1.31) | 9.34 | |
| ABTC | American Bitcoin Corp | (0.30) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 9.13 | (9.42) | 44.21 | |
| KBDC | Kayne Anderson BDC | (0.12) | 9 per month | 1.30 | (0.03) | 2.84 | (2.35) | 6.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Loandepot
For every potential investor in Loandepot, whether a beginner or expert, Loandepot's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Loandepot Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Loandepot. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Loandepot's price trends.Loandepot Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Loandepot stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Loandepot could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Loandepot by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Loandepot Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Loandepot stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Loandepot shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Loandepot stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Loandepot entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 107197.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.12) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
Loandepot Risk Indicators
The analysis of Loandepot's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loandepot's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loandepot stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.6 | |||
| Variance | 31.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Loandepot
The number of cover stories for Loandepot depends on current market conditions and Loandepot's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Loandepot is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Loandepot's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Loandepot Short Properties
Loandepot's future price predictability will typically decrease when Loandepot's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Loandepot often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Loandepot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loandepot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 421.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loandepot to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Loandepot Stock please use our How to Invest in Loandepot guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will Loandepot introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loandepot. Expected growth trajectory for Loandepot significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Loandepot listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | Earnings Share (0.36) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Loandepot requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Loandepot's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Loandepot's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Loandepot's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Loandepot's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Loandepot represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Loandepot's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.