Chicago Atlantic Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| LIEN Stock | 9.05 0.04 0.44% |
Chicago Atlantic's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Chicago Atlantic at 9.19 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Chicago Atlantic at 9.19 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 6.54 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Chicago Atlantic's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chicago Atlantic | Chicago Atlantic Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Chicago Atlantic's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The projected band runs from roughly 7.87 on the downside to about 10.51 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Chicago Atlantic stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.8799 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.046 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1148 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.5425 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chicago Atlantic
Analyzing Chicago Atlantic's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Chicago Atlantic's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.Chicago Atlantic Related Equities
These stocks within the Financials space are often compared to Chicago Atlantic by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Profit comparisons show whether Chicago Atlantic earns above or below average returns next to its peers. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chicago Atlantic Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Chicago Atlantic BDC, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Chicago Atlantic.
Chicago Atlantic Risk Indicators
Analyzing Chicago Atlantic's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for chicago atlantic stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Chicago Atlantic.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9907 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Chicago Atlantic Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Chicago Atlantic reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.82 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.93 billion |