Chicago Atlantic Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| LIEN Stock | 10.66 0.16 1.52% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Chicago Atlantic BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81. Chicago Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Chicago Atlantic's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Chicago Atlantic's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Chicago Atlantic fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Chicago Atlantic's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.808 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.35 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.45 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.49 | Wall Street Target Price 11 |
Using Chicago Atlantic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chicago Atlantic BDC from the perspective of Chicago Atlantic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Chicago Atlantic BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81. Chicago Atlantic after-hype prediction price | USD 10.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chicago Atlantic to cross-verify your projections. Chicago Atlantic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chicago price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chicago using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chicago charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chicago Atlantic Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Chicago Atlantic BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chicago Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chicago Atlantic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chicago Atlantic Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chicago Atlantic | Chicago Atlantic Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Chicago Atlantic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chicago Atlantic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chicago Atlantic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.16 and 12.15, respectively. We have considered Chicago Atlantic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chicago Atlantic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chicago Atlantic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0784 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1771 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0172 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.8061 |
Predictive Modules for Chicago Atlantic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chicago Atlantic BDC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chicago Atlantic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chicago Atlantic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chicago Atlantic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chicago Atlantic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chicago Atlantic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chicago Atlantic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chicago Atlantic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chicago Atlantic's historical news coverage. Chicago Atlantic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.17 and 12.17, respectively. We have considered Chicago Atlantic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chicago Atlantic is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chicago Atlantic BDC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chicago Atlantic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chicago Atlantic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chicago Atlantic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chicago Atlantic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.49 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.66 | 10.67 | 0.09 |
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Chicago Atlantic Hype Timeline
Chicago Atlantic BDC is now traded for 10.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Chicago is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Chicago Atlantic is about 149000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.66. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.97 M. Net Income was 9.62 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.72 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chicago Atlantic to cross-verify your projections.Chicago Atlantic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chicago Atlantic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chicago Atlantic's future price movements. Getting to know how Chicago Atlantic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chicago Atlantic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPVG | Triplepoint Venture Growth | 0.05 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.15 | 2.51 | (2.58) | 8.89 | |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.91 | 0.01 | 3.89 | (3.42) | 17.41 | |
| MPV | Barings Participation Investors | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.99 | (0.03) | 2.69 | (3.22) | 9.22 | |
| SWKH | SWK Holdings Corp | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.79 | (0.01) | 1.59 | (1.05) | 9.41 | |
| MLCI | Mount Logan Capital | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.60 | 0.04 | 4.10 | (4.51) | 17.11 | |
| TONX | TON Strategy Co | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.47 | (10.10) | 31.21 | |
| GIWWU | GigInternational1 Unit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp | (0.07) | 8 per month | 1.60 | (0) | 3.54 | (2.68) | 9.48 | |
| NEWT | Newtek Business Services | (0.29) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.17 | 4.67 | (3.09) | 13.38 | |
| GSRF | GSR IV Acquisition | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.93) | 0.10 | (0.20) | 0.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chicago Atlantic
For every potential investor in Chicago, whether a beginner or expert, Chicago Atlantic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chicago Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chicago. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chicago Atlantic's price trends.Chicago Atlantic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chicago Atlantic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chicago Atlantic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chicago Atlantic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chicago Atlantic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chicago Atlantic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chicago Atlantic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chicago Atlantic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chicago Atlantic BDC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Chicago Atlantic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chicago Atlantic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chicago Atlantic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chicago stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Chicago Atlantic
The number of cover stories for Chicago Atlantic depends on current market conditions and Chicago Atlantic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chicago Atlantic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chicago Atlantic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chicago Atlantic Short Properties
Chicago Atlantic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chicago Atlantic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chicago Atlantic BDC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chicago Atlantic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chicago Atlantic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.9 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.36 |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chicago Atlantic to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chicago Atlantic. If investors know Chicago will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chicago Atlantic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.808 | Dividend Share 1.36 | Earnings Share 1.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.745 |
The market value of Chicago Atlantic BDC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chicago that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chicago Atlantic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chicago Atlantic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chicago Atlantic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chicago Atlantic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chicago Atlantic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chicago Atlantic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chicago Atlantic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.