Lincoln Educational Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LINC Stock | USD 26.95 0.04 0.15% |
Lincoln Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lincoln Educational stock prices and determine the direction of Lincoln Educational Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Lincoln Educational's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Lincoln Educational's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.44 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.82 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.84 | Wall Street Target Price 28.2 |
Using Lincoln Educational hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lincoln Educational Services from the perspective of Lincoln Educational response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lincoln Educational using Lincoln Educational's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lincoln using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lincoln Educational's stock price.
Lincoln Educational Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lincoln Educational's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lincoln. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lincoln Educational stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 22.1371 | Short Percent 0.0345 | Short Ratio 3.38 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 24.594 |
Lincoln Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lincoln Educational Services on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.74.Lincoln Educational Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lincoln Educational's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lincoln. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lincoln can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lincoln Educational Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lincoln Educational's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lincoln Educational.
Lincoln Educational Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
Lincoln Educational's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lincoln Educational Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lincoln Educational's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lincoln Educational stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lincoln Educational's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lincoln Educational Services on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.74. Lincoln Educational after-hype prediction price | USD 26.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lincoln Educational to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lincoln contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lincoln Educational Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lincoln Educational trading at USD 26.95, that is roughly USD 0.0194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lincoln Educational's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lincoln Educational Services options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lincoln Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lincoln Educational's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lincoln Educational's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lincoln Educational stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lincoln Educational's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lincoln Educational's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lincoln Educational is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lincoln. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lincoln Educational Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lincoln price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lincoln using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lincoln charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lincoln Educational Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lincoln Educational Services on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lincoln Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lincoln Educational's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lincoln Educational Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lincoln Educational | Lincoln Educational Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lincoln Educational Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lincoln Educational's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lincoln Educational's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.41 and 29.48, respectively. We have considered Lincoln Educational's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lincoln Educational stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lincoln Educational stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.049 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1243 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4548 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0191 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.7445 |
Predictive Modules for Lincoln Educational
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lincoln Educational. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lincoln Educational After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lincoln Educational at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lincoln Educational or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lincoln Educational, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lincoln Educational Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lincoln Educational's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lincoln Educational's historical news coverage. Lincoln Educational's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.18 and 29.24, respectively. We have considered Lincoln Educational's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lincoln Educational is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lincoln Educational is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lincoln Educational Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lincoln Educational is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lincoln Educational backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lincoln Educational, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 2.53 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.95 | 26.71 | 0.89 |
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Lincoln Educational Hype Timeline
Lincoln Educational is now traded for 26.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Lincoln is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln Educational is about 3085.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.99. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lincoln Educational was now reported as 5.88. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.04. Lincoln Educational last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lincoln Educational to cross-verify your projections.Lincoln Educational Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lincoln Educational's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lincoln Educational's future price movements. Getting to know how Lincoln Educational's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lincoln Educational may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APEI | American Public Education | (0.24) | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.20 | 5.11 | (2.73) | 10.54 | |
| KLC | KinderCare Learning Companies | 0.21 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.25 | (6.18) | 23.56 | |
| BYND | Beyond Meat | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.83 | (8.96) | 45.83 | |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.42 | (1.61) | 11.44 | |
| NUS | Nu Skin Enterprises | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.35 | (4.44) | 16.58 | |
| QSG | QuantaSing Group Limited | 0.64 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.26 | (6.49) | 16.19 | |
| DNUT | Krispy Kreme | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.33 | (5.74) | 20.08 | |
| MGPI | MGP Ingredients | 0.39 | 9 per month | 2.10 | 0 | 3.56 | (4.14) | 12.18 | |
| STKL | SunOpta | (0.03) | 10 per month | 2.15 | 0.15 | 6.23 | (3.66) | 32.66 | |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | (0.03) | 2 per month | 1.74 | 0.10 | 2.65 | (2.80) | 12.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lincoln Educational
For every potential investor in Lincoln, whether a beginner or expert, Lincoln Educational's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lincoln Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lincoln. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lincoln Educational's price trends.Lincoln Educational Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lincoln Educational stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lincoln Educational could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lincoln Educational by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lincoln Educational Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lincoln Educational stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lincoln Educational shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lincoln Educational stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lincoln Educational Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24129.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0348 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
Lincoln Educational Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lincoln Educational's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lincoln Educational's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lincoln stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.89 | |||
| Variance | 8.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lincoln Educational
The number of cover stories for Lincoln Educational depends on current market conditions and Lincoln Educational's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lincoln Educational is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lincoln Educational's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lincoln Educational Short Properties
Lincoln Educational's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lincoln Educational's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lincoln Educational Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lincoln Educational's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lincoln Educational's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lincoln Educational to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Diversified Consumer Services sector continue expanding? Could Lincoln diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lincoln Educational. Expected growth trajectory for Lincoln significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Lincoln Educational data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Earnings Share 0.45 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.236 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Lincoln Educational requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Lincoln's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Lincoln Educational's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Lincoln Educational's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Lincoln Educational's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lincoln Educational represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Lincoln Educational's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.