Lumentum Holdings Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| LITE Stock | USD 386.11 17.52 4.75% |
Lumentum Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lumentum Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Lumentum Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lumentum Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Lumentum Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.711 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1623 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.6872 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.1832 | Wall Street Target Price 268.4286 |
Using Lumentum Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lumentum Holdings from the perspective of Lumentum Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lumentum Holdings using Lumentum Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lumentum using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lumentum Holdings' stock price.
Lumentum Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lumentum Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lumentum. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lumentum Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 149.0254 | Short Percent 0.1983 | Short Ratio 2.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.7 M | 50 Day MA 288.0286 |
Lumentum Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lumentum Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lumentum. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lumentum can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lumentum Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lumentum Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lumentum Holdings.
Lumentum Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.27 |
Lumentum Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lumentum Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lumentum Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lumentum Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lumentum Holdings' options are near their expiration.
Lumentum Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 386.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lumentum Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lumentum Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lumentum Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lumentum Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lumentum Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lumentum Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Lumentum Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lumentum Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lumentum. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lumentum Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lumentum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lumentum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lumentum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 122263.0 | 0.0434 |
| Check Lumentum Holdings Volatility | Backtest Lumentum Holdings | Information Ratio |
Lumentum Holdings Trading Date Momentum
| On January 04 2026 Lumentum Holdings was traded for 386.11 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 392.00 and the lowest listed price was 375.00 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 4, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.74% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Lumentum Holdings to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Lumentum Holdings
For every potential investor in Lumentum, whether a beginner or expert, Lumentum Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lumentum Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lumentum. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lumentum Holdings' price trends.Lumentum Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lumentum Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lumentum Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lumentum Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lumentum Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lumentum Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lumentum Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lumentum Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lumentum Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lumentum Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lumentum Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lumentum Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0434 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.030588 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 383.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 384.37 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 17.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 11.37 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 17.52 |
Lumentum Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lumentum Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lumentum Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lumentum stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.07 | |||
| Variance | 36.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lumentum Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Lumentum Stock refer to our How to Trade Lumentum Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumentum Holdings. If investors know Lumentum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumentum Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.711 | Earnings Share 1.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.584 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Lumentum Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumentum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumentum Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumentum Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumentum Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumentum Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumentum Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumentum Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumentum Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.