Lakeland Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LKFN Stock  USD 75.85  0.47  0.62%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lakeland Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 73.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.06. Lakeland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Lakeland Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lakeland Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lakeland Financial fundamentals over time.
  
As of the 26th of November 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 4.37, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 7.61. . As of the 26th of November 2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 125.4 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 23.5 M.

Lakeland Financial Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Lakeland Financial's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1997-09-30
Previous Quarter
121.2 M
Current Value
86.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
111.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Lakeland Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lakeland Financial value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lakeland Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lakeland Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 73.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 3.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lakeland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lakeland Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lakeland Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lakeland Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lakeland Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lakeland Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.26 and 76.15, respectively. We have considered Lakeland Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
75.85
73.70
Expected Value
76.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lakeland Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lakeland Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.2876
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5816
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0235
SAESum of the absolute errors98.0585
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lakeland Financial. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lakeland Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lakeland Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lakeland Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.9975.4177.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.1758.5983.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
71.4073.9776.54
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
50.7355.7561.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lakeland Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lakeland Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lakeland Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lakeland Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for Lakeland Financial

For every potential investor in Lakeland, whether a beginner or expert, Lakeland Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lakeland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lakeland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lakeland Financial's price trends.

View Lakeland Financial Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lakeland Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lakeland Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lakeland Financial's current price.

Lakeland Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lakeland Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lakeland Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lakeland Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lakeland Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lakeland Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lakeland Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lakeland Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lakeland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Lakeland Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lakeland Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lakeland Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lakeland Financial Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lakeland Financial to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Lakeland Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lakeland Financial guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lakeland Financial. If investors know Lakeland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lakeland Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
1.92
Earnings Share
3.85
Revenue Per Share
9.447
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Lakeland Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lakeland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lakeland Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lakeland Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lakeland Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lakeland Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lakeland Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lakeland Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lakeland Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.