LPL Financial Stock Forward View
| LPLA Stock | USD 364.50 1.79 0.49% |
LPL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LPL Financial stock prices and determine the direction of LPL Financial Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LPL Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of LPL Financial's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LPL Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.053 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.6809 | EPS Estimate Current Year 24.0782 | EPS Estimate Next Year 28.9717 | Wall Street Target Price 449.3077 |
Using LPL Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LPL Financial Holdings from the perspective of LPL Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LPL Financial using LPL Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LPL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LPL Financial's stock price.
LPL Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in LPL Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LPL. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LPL Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 358.7981 | Short Percent 0.0346 | Short Ratio 4.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 364.9008 |
LPL Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LPL Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 365.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 426.95.LPL Financial Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LPL Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LPL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LPL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LPL Financial Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LPL Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LPL Financial.
LPL Financial Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
LPL Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LPL Financial Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LPL Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LPL Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when LPL Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LPL Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 365.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 426.95. LPL Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 362.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LPL Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LPL contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LPL Financial Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With LPL Financial trading at USD 364.5, that is roughly USD 0.0911 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LPL Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring LPL Financial Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 LPL Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LPL Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LPL Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LPL Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LPL Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to LPL Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LPL Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LPL. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
LPL Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LPL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LPL using various technical indicators. When you analyze LPL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LPL Financial Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the LPL Financial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2006-12-31 | Previous Quarter 4.2 B | Current Value 1.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 500 M |
LPL Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LPL Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 365.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.00, mean absolute percentage error of 73.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 426.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LPL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LPL Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LPL Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LPL Financial | LPL Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
LPL Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LPL Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LPL Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 363.59 and 366.99, respectively. We have considered LPL Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LPL Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LPL Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.4069 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.9993 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0191 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 426.9544 |
Predictive Modules for LPL Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LPL Financial Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LPL Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LPL Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LPL Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LPL Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LPL Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LPL Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LPL Financial's historical news coverage. LPL Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 361.01 and 364.41, respectively. We have considered LPL Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LPL Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LPL Financial Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
LPL Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LPL Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LPL Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LPL Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.70 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
364.50 | 362.71 | 0.00 |
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LPL Financial Hype Timeline
LPL Financial Holdings is now traded for 364.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. LPL is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 166.67%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on LPL Financial is about 187.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 364.45. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.44. LPL Financial Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LPL Financial to cross-verify your projections.LPL Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LPL Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LPL Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how LPL Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LPL Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TW | Tradeweb Markets | 2.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.29 | (2.41) | 8.18 | |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial | (6.90) | 25 per month | 1.33 | 0.0003 | 2.22 | (2.20) | 5.52 | |
| PJT | PJT Partners | 7.59 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.08 | (4.73) | 10.14 | |
| MC | Moelis Co | 0.16 | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.03 | 3.36 | (3.84) | 9.78 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 1.15 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.03 | 2.22 | (2.17) | 5.81 | |
| MKTX | MarketAxess Holdings | (0.45) | 31 per month | 1.68 | (0.04) | 2.52 | (2.77) | 9.15 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | (4.74) | 10 per month | 2.21 | (0.02) | 3.02 | (3.13) | 9.28 | |
| EVR | Evercore Partners | (6.99) | 7 per month | 2.42 | 0.05 | 3.24 | (3.26) | 10.96 | |
| LAZ | Lazard | (0.20) | 11 per month | 2.10 | 0.05 | 3.60 | (3.31) | 12.15 | |
| HLI | Houlihan Lokey | (2.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.61 | (3.04) | 11.75 | |
| PWP | Perella Weinberg Partners | 0.39 | 22 per month | 2.37 | 0.06 | 4.96 | (3.42) | 12.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for LPL Financial
For every potential investor in LPL, whether a beginner or expert, LPL Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LPL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LPL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LPL Financial's price trends.LPL Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LPL Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LPL Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LPL Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LPL Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LPL Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LPL Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LPL Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LPL Financial Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LPL Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of LPL Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LPL Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lpl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.84 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LPL Financial
The number of cover stories for LPL Financial depends on current market conditions and LPL Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LPL Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LPL Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LPL Financial Short Properties
LPL Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when LPL Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LPL Financial Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LPL Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LPL Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LPL Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LPL Financial. Expected growth trajectory for LPL significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive LPL Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.053 | Earnings Share 10.93 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.462 | Return On Assets |
The market value of LPL Financial Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LPL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LPL Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LPL Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LPL Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LPL Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LPL Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LPL Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, LPL Financial's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.