Magna International Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| MGA Stock | USD 53.41 0.85 1.57% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Magna International on the next trading day is expected to be 56.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.08. Magna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Magna International stock prices and determine the direction of Magna International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Magna International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Magna International's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Magna International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7041 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3405 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9651 | Wall Street Target Price 55.3529 |
Using Magna International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Magna International from the perspective of Magna International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Magna International using Magna International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Magna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Magna International's stock price.
Magna International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Magna International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Magna. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Magna International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 43.7963 | Short Percent 0.0288 | Short Ratio 6.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.6 M | 50 Day MA 51.9656 |
Magna International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Magna International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Magna. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Magna can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Magna International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Magna International Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Magna International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Magna International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Magna International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Magna International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Magna International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Magna International on the next trading day is expected to be 56.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.08. Magna International after-hype prediction price | USD 53.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Magna International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Magna contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Magna International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Magna International trading at USD 53.41, that is roughly USD 0.0174 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Magna International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Magna International options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Magna Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Magna International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Magna International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Magna International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Magna International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Magna International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Magna International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Magna. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Magna International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Magna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Magna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Magna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Magna International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Magna International on the next trading day is expected to be 56.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Magna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Magna International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Magna International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Magna International | Magna International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Magna International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Magna International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Magna International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.92 and 58.47, respectively. We have considered Magna International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Magna International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Magna International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7345 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2754 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0251 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.0755 |
Predictive Modules for Magna International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magna International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Magna International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Magna International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Magna International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Magna International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Magna International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Magna International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Magna International's historical news coverage. Magna International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.63 and 55.19, respectively. We have considered Magna International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Magna International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Magna International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Magna International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Magna International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magna International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Magna International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.77 | 1.62 | 0.28 | 18 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.41 | 53.41 | 0.00 |
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Magna International Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Magna International is traded for 53.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.62, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. Magna is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 32.72%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Magna International is about 188.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.69. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.19. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Magna International has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of March 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 18 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Magna International to cross-verify your projections.Magna International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Magna International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Magna International's future price movements. Getting to know how Magna International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Magna International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings | (0.89) | 10 per month | 0.80 | 0.25 | 3.31 | (1.54) | 6.81 | |
| APTV | Aptiv PLC | (1.60) | 37 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.41 | (4.26) | 11.51 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.27 | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.06 | 3.36 | (2.55) | 9.62 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | (0.73) | 13 per month | 1.24 | 0.13 | 3.50 | (2.18) | 8.69 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.05 | 3.51 | (2.90) | 8.11 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | (0.36) | 16 per month | 1.29 | 0.01 | 2.85 | (2.47) | 6.91 | |
| VC | Visteon Corp | 5.41 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.85 | (3.53) | 8.62 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | 0.39 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.63 | (2.26) | 12.10 | |
| ADNT | Adient PLC | 5.41 | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.13 | (5.12) | 21.07 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | 1.39 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.90 | (5.07) | 28.69 | |
| DAN | Dana Inc | 0.95 | 7 per month | 1.22 | 0.26 | 5.08 | (3.03) | 11.78 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | 0.39 | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.69 | (2.64) | 13.70 | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | 1.72 | 19 per month | 2.15 | 0.17 | 6.86 | (4.01) | 12.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Magna International
For every potential investor in Magna, whether a beginner or expert, Magna International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Magna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Magna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Magna International's price trends.Magna International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Magna International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Magna International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Magna International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Magna International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Magna International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Magna International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Magna International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Magna International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 45329.23 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.46) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 54.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 53.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.85) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.51 |
Magna International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Magna International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Magna International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting magna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Magna International
The number of cover stories for Magna International depends on current market conditions and Magna International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Magna International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Magna International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Magna International Short Properties
Magna International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Magna International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Magna International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Magna International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Magna International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 286.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Magna International to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Magna Stock refer to our How to Trade Magna Stock guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Magna International. If investors know Magna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Magna International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Dividend Share 1.94 | Earnings Share 3.59 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
The market value of Magna International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Magna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Magna International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Magna International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Magna International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Magna International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Magna International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Magna International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Magna International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.